While talking to the press this morning John McCain made an interesting admission. He said that he realizes that if he cannot convince the American public that things are going really great in Iraq right now (my paraphrase) that he knows he will lose in November.
I'm wondering how the "blowing sunshine express" plans to do that? Obviously he cannot point to progress within the government because there is none. He can't point to the lower violence because that's due to the militias being temporarily reined in, the neighborhoods being ethnically cleansed so there aren't any more easy murder targets, and the fact that 3 million Iraqis have fled the country. Obviously he can't point to the constitution being rewritten, the oil sharing revenues being signed into law, less friction between the Kurds and Turkey (there is an invasion going on there I understand), or some sort of sharing of power arrangements being agreed upon. He can't point to a working police force or army and he sure cannot point to the militias being disbanded and disarmed.
He could try spinning the return of some of the refugees, but someone is going to point out they are not returning because they want to or think things are safer, but because their visas from nearby countries are being revoked and they are being driven out. They then have nowhere else to go.
He cannot point to infrastructure changes such as working sewers, reliable electricity, clean water, or available medical care. He cannot point to more safety in the streets when many Iraqis, particularly women, live in terror daily because of the unprovoked violence. The green zone is being bombed. Markets and pilgrimages are still being blown up with dozens dying.
So how does he convince us that black is white over the next 7 months?
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Carolyn G.
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October 7, 2006 McCain's Interesting Admission
February 25, 2008 04:29 PM EST
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Comments: 40
It would have gone a long way toward people believing what we're told had our current Decider in Chief ever once admitted his mistakes and taken responsibility for his failures. Two small film clips pretty much sum up the Bush administration in my mind. One is of President Bush clowning around pretending to look for WMD as if our troops dying by the thousands was some sort of a joke. The second was of him being asked directly if he had made any mistakes in his administration. He got this dim, confused look on his face, fumbled around for words, and then said something like he was sure there probably had been mistakes made, but he sure couldn't think of any.
The question or problem presented by McCain is faulty. America's involvement in Iraq was done with the wisdom and insight of a child wearing kalidescope glasses. There is no "better" or "worse." That concept does not address the depth of the debacle. If your home, no matter how corrupt, was invaded and occupied by an armed and deranged band of aliens who possesed no sensititivity, understand or concern of your entire frame of reference and imposed their will by deadly force and for the most part DID NOT SPEAK YOUR LANGUAGE is there a "fix?" A "better?" Would injecting more and more powerful aliens bring "peace?" IF, a big if, there is any role for America in Iraq the entire intellectual definition of our position and place must be re-defined from the ground up and ALL those who view this as needing some sort of clever patch be sent packing. Unless we change the entire dynamic this truly will be the pit of American expression of power.
As for U.S. soldiers not being drafted, how is that material to anything? A war doesn't suddenly become well executed if the people involved in it and fighting it are volunteers. And quite frankly a dead volunteer soldier is just as dead as is a draftee when he runs over a roadside IED and doesn't have the proper vehicle to protect him.
I wouldn't mind had Mr. Bush done what he said he was going to do. But he didn't. He's not done anything he promised other than to give huge tax breaks to the wealthiest 1/2 of 1% of tax payers and staggering amounts of corporate welfare to the richest most profitable companies in history. I've repeatedly asked the Bush supporters to list his accomplishments. Not one has managed to list a single one thus far. That's pretty telling, don't you think?
How can we possibly lose???
Don? McCain never left the race. Why should he? He's all but got the Republican nomination locked up. It's really not a matter of the race right now; it's a matter of McCain somehow being able to persuade people that everything in Iraq is a bed of roses and the gateway to the Garden of Eden. Personally I think that's going to be a hard sell with the media there to tell the truth.
"If I may, I'd like to retract 'I'll lose.' But I don't think there's any doubt that how they judge Iraq will have a direct relation to their judgment of me, my support of the surge," McCain added. "Clearly, I am tied to it to a large degree."
Remember, according to Mr. al-Maliki, we are not needed there and are free to leave whenever we wish. And no. I didn't read that somewhere, I saw the interview live when he said it.
I do not believe, Carolyn, that commanders are fired nor even resign for not saying what the President "wants to hear". Fired for failing to do thier duty, yes. Resign because they don't agree with policy, yes. Either way, if there are no criminal charges pending, they still receive full retirement.
Our next President, regardless of who he or she may be, will have to take a lot of things into consideration concerning Iraq.
I think that if Commanders disagree with Obama he will take that into consideration rather than simply moving the commanders around until he finds one who will agree with him. Will he abide by it? That I don't know. I would expect, however, he would seriously consider what they say. Remember, Mr. Bush was told that it would require 360,000 troops to do the job right when he invaded. He chose to go in with about a third of that and the rest, as they say, is history.
And, from my view point, I see success in Iraq. Though we won't read about it or see about it in the MSM.
I just can not understand why FAILURE in Iraq is acceptable to so many Americans.
I am not talking about the press is saying they were fired for not saying what they were told to say. I am saying the generals and other officers involved themselves said that. The press reported what they were told by the people involved, not the other way around.
What I find puzzling is that anyone such as you is content to sit back and watch a war being lost through incompetence on the part of the Decider in Chief, and keep yelling "black is white!!!!" black is white!!!!!" as more and more people either run for their lives or die.
I'm not trying to argue, Carolyn. And I appreciate the tone of your responses. I guess we should agree to disagree. Our opinions differ and that is quite acceptable.
The bottom line is that unless the Iraqi government steps up and begins taking charge there is no end to this mess. You absolutely cannot force peace and security on people who are determined to murder one another. I don't believe our troops should continue dying for people who refuse to do anything for themselves.
That isn't wanting failure, it's acknowledging that without a miracle we have already failed.
I think that a fresh brain in the White House could muster a wide variety of mechanisms to terminate this war short of another surge. And short of a bloodbath in the region when we leave.
Bust has absolutely no intention to leave. I don't believe he ever did.
This botched war cannot be won through force of arms now unless they are willing to turn the entire country into a glass parking lot, and that's hardly a solution even for someone as callous as Mr. Bush, though of course they can always drill through glass as a hard-hearted friend of mine once observed.
McCain lost hope the moment he tied himself to this criminal, corrupt Bush Administration and its illegal, failed ivasion and occupation of Iraq. He be better off back in the arms of Vicki Iseman . . .
Regards,
Doyle I <~~~~~
You can't "win" a war crime.
Did you ever see the cult movie -- aarrgghhh!! Can't remember the name (subtiled "How I learned to stop worrying and love the bomb). But a general had arranged for Russia to get bombed by faking orders, arranging to ensure that there was no pulling back, and when it came up in a meeting with the President got all excited about how now we had no choice but to make it a real MASSIVE attack to destroy Russia before they could be fully prepared to fight back, and the loss of lives in the US from the nuclear retaliation would be perfectly acceptable. He was basically insane. But we have roughly the same situation here. The only reason we are in the war at all is because of lies. Now you and other apologists for the war start claiming it is too late to change now, you got us in this mess and now we have to do whatever you say or there will be even worse disasters.
The problem with that reasoning is the the crazy person does not stop there. They use anything to just keep escalating. So then it esscalates into we HAVE to take out Iran because THEY might take over Iraq, then keeps going and going and going until we are fully engaged in WW III. The only rational thing to do is to NOT give the crazy person what he wants. Even though it hurts now, because the crazy person has put us into an impossible lose-lose situation, it would be even worse if we gave in to him. We may not be able to SEE how it would be worse because our minds do not work that way, but it is very clear in the mind of the crazy person.
We gave in to Bush earlier with his insistence that he be given the power to wage war as a threat to get Saddam to allow the inspectors back in. It worled. The inspectors were allowed back in. If we had a rational person as President that would have been that, but a crazy person uses whatever power he is given to further his cause, and that is why we are in Iraq. At the time giving Bush that power seemed like the lesser of evils, because we could not imagine the power being misused the way it was. Now we see just the START of what it means to yield on this issue.
John
I think even you can see the flaw in your argument.
General Patraus was under orders from the Commander in Chief.
The others were acting 100% on their own. They did not risk being demoted or being reassigned. There was no possible threat to hold over them to make them say what they did. They spoke out AFTER retiring because it is ILLEGAL for them to publicly disparage the President while they are active military. It was their first opportunity to speak up. The fact that so many are willing to speak up says an awful lot.
John
What I think Petraeus did, by the way was the same thing Mr. Bush did. He presented a carefully selected group of facts, figures, and a favorable snapshot in time, then presented those without the caveat that would/could have given his statements context. It's possible that, unlike Mr. Bush's WMD, everything Petraeus said to congress was strictly and technically the truth. It was simply a very selective and non-inclusive picture of the truth. It's called a lie of omission.
Dave said, "Failure is not some future state to be avoided, it is both the past and the present reality of the American occupation." Agreed. The idea that we should decide what to do on the basis of whether we want to win or lose is irrelevant.
I hear both Clinton and Obama saying over and over again that we need to be careful getting out. I don't envy them in whatever plan they try.
Carolyn, great discussion here! I find myself in agreement with nearly everything you say. But one question. Do you think, even if we pressure the Iraqi government more, it has enough power and influcence to get much done?
Sam, The Assassin's Gate sound like a good read. Thanks for your comments.
So in the end, I don't really believe that they will ever even try and that they will fall and the country will slide into chaos and further into civil war. I think it's inevitable because the window for diplomacy seems to have closed.
What caused the problem is his refusal to see that there was one. Each setback was explained away with blowing sunshine. As near as I can tell, he honestly believed that the Iraqi people would be so grateful to be free of Saddam that they would simply step up and immediately begin governing themselves. He never once believed what he was told about the sectarian divides, ancient hatreds, and other such things. I'm not sure he really either understands or accepts them to this day. He still looks bewildered every time the subject of what happened in Iraq comes up, and he gets glassy eyed and begins spouting talking points. I've never heard him utter any sort of insightful analysis of the entire situation.
In the end I suppose it's rather meaningless now. Civil wars don't generally end soon and they don't generally end cleanly. In the absence of diplomacy al-Qaeda will remain a problem as it pulls in fighters from outside the country. The only possible upside to all of that is that their excesses are causing Iraqis to turn away from them. I don't suppose the enormous bribes we pay them to do so hurts all that much either.