Do we really have to choose just one reason that the population of US prisons and jails has increased over 50% in the last four years, from 1.47 million in 2003, to 2.3 million in 2007?Pew reports that the proportion of the adult population incarcerated has now topped one in a hundred adults.
The only way, multiple press accounts tell us, that the growth of prisons is slowing, is through community programs, early releases, and other programs that return convicts to our communities early.
Drug crimes, mandatory minimums, and high crime rates are a major factors in the swelling of prison populations.
The Reuters report cited above tells us:
Let's put that in perspective on a very personal basis.The far more populous nation of China ranked second with 1.5 million behind bars, with Russia a distant third with 890,000 inmates.
"Beyond the sheer number of inmates, America also is the global leader in the rate at which it incarcerates its citizenry, outpacing nations like South Africa and Iran," according to the report.
Think about your church, your workplace, your school. How many hundreds of people would you see in a day? Imagine one out of a hundred of those people suddenly disappearing, leaving behind a family, a job, and an oppressed and shamed silence.
How shamed? Well, it depends doesn't it. Some people in jail smoked a joint. Some killed their romantic partner or rival. Some abused children.
Are Americans 150% worse behaved than they were four years ago, though? Are they eight times worse than people were in 1970?
Or are the laws wrong?
Is the society truly rotten?
Or are we building a police state, where the poor, addicted, insane, and abused are shuffled off to the only institution left after the closure, over the years, of training programs, addiction clinics and mental health programs -- causing us to consolidate the prison with work houses and asylums?
Let's pick a couple of these. I believe that we must reform the laws around drug use and treatment, and fully fund addiction programs. We must fund educational/training and mental health options. They are cheaper than prisons. And we must stop caving to the fear-mongers who tell us that we must be "tough on crime" at the wrong end of the cycle.
Want to be "tough on crime?" Kill it before it grows. Work on education, job programs, poverty prevention, drug programs, and mental health infrastructure. Tell your state and federal representatives, and talk to your neighbors.
Do we want to be the leader of the world -- not just the "free world" -- in incarcerations?
I think none of us has any doubts the answer to that question is no.
--
Shava Nerad, News and Opinion Correspondent:
Shava's column, Iconoclasm, published irregularly and frequently to Gather Essentials: News, is an examination of the provocative ideas emerging in media and world culture behind the news.
ShavaNerad has been working on the Internet for over twenty-five years, at the boundaries of Internet and social issues. She is CEO of Indigenis, a consulting group working at the intersection of virtual worlds, social networking, and gaming communities, and recently left her position as development director of The Tor Project to work on a book tentatively titled How to Raise a Risk Taker.
She lives in Somerville, MA with her teenage son, her fiance (a professional magician and fundraising coach), and a corgi/dachshund mutt named George. Her wedding in Second Life was recently featured in Business Week, and even she finds this surreal.
Opinions here have nothing to do with my consulting and so on.
You can find all of Shava's Iconoclasm columns at http://Iconoclasm.gather.com
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Comments: 62
Thanks
of course some of them are child molesters, rapists, murderers. but alot of them are drug sellers- who would be guilty if nothing if there were no drug buyers.
Why do we have to put drug users in prison, for instance. Why not into less expensive drug camps where there is counseling and treatment? I am not for forgiving crimes associated with drugs or while on drugs, but the crime of being high itself should carry different penalties.
People are, by definition, mostly stupid. So they do drugs. I do agree that were kids better educated, trained to some job skill, etc. that there would be fewer drug users. I disagree that people cannot stop if they wanted to. No matter how addictive anything is, and no matter how bad you feel, in the end the only person who takes a hit off that crack pipe or cigarette for that matter, is you.
The media (which is very, very right wing for the most part, despite frequent and shrill claims to the contrary) focuses on crime in a very myopic way. As we all know, "if it bleeds it leads" is a dominant philosophy in the lazy, yellow journalism predominant today. The investigative reporter is almost a thing of the past.
This kind of reporting heightens fear of crime, even when the crime rate is dropping. Here in Canada a consistent decline in crime rates has not stopped conservative politicians from trumpeting the "get tough on crime" aspects of their platform. Motivated by fear, people often buy into that kind of policy. It's simple, easy to grasp, requires no knowledge of sociology or other complex ways of looking at human society. It also denies the reality that there will always be some crime and that no amount of law enforcement will overcome the fact that some human being do horrible things to other human beings. With populations as high as they are even a low crime rate will result in many individual instances of horrific crime occuring. Yes, we must punish those individual perpetrators, but increasing application of draconian law enforcement measures in the face of declining crime rates is illogical and counter-productive.
I think in the USA one very serious mistake was to make prisons a private enterprise, motivated by the deep seated conviction that the private sector is always more efficient and cost effective than the public sector. No amount of evidence proving this conviction wrong will ever sway those who are ideologically committed to it.
Industry seeks profit, though, and has a hunger for ever higher profits. If your industry is incarceration, how do you increase profits? You have to increase demand for your services. How do you do that? How do you get more people incarcerated? Well, it is hard to entice people to commit crimes, but you can motivate the public to "get tough on crime" by passing more and more laws for which people can be put away and by insisting that sentences be longer.
Instant increase in profits.
There are some things that must be left to the public sector because we have to protect society from the manipulations of vested interests.
The first figure from the U.S. Bureau of Justice Statistics reports the population of the nation's state and federal prisons. The second figure reported by Pew is the total number of people incarcerated. The difference between the two is the people incarcerated in county jails
As for drugs, most states do not incarcerate people for "a joint". In most states, simple possession is a misdemeanor.
Which brings us to the topic of drug-convictions, in most cases, people sent to prison for drugs are in reality being sent to prison for a preponderance of criminal behavior or as a plea-bargain from a more serious offense.
In short, the painful reality is that it is a lot easier to convict someone for the crack in their pocket than the for the child they just raped.
Felony convictions serve not only to stock our jails and prisons, but also to remove huge numbers of folks with an inside view, as it were, of the justice system from our voting rolls. Think about 1% of the adult population -- perhaps 5% of the poor or so, on speculation -- removed from the voting rolls.
And, if I got the numbers in the first paragraph off, the "eight times 1970" is apples-to-apples straight from the Reuters report, which also said the population had tripled since 1987. But thanks for the check.
According to the US DOJ, in 2006 about three quarters of a million were incarcerated in local jails, putting this number at 33% of the total incarcerated population, so that is significant.
I'll say that tripling since 1987 and up eight times since 1970 is sufficient for worry, though, wouldn't you?
I agree with those who wish to abolish most laws against the use of Marijuana.
I also agree with those who cite statistics related to recidivism as a criticism to the whole 'criminal justice' system, and believe that addressing social problems will eliminate most crime.
I think that we could probably send home a few drug dealers without causing the collapse of our civilization. perps of violent crime are less likely to catch a break from me, because i could be their next victim.
Yes, overeating is one factor. What you eat is a much larger one.
I would prefer that muderers, rapists and child pornographers not vote. Why would any sane person want these people to partake in politics?
There are avenues open to felons who have changed their lives. Most states offer an opportunity to have a record expunged.
Yes, the increase in crime do worry me. The increase in incareration does not.
I agree with the way you frame the issue, its crime and criminals not the numbers.
Suggesting that the change in the numbers is due to the number of people simply smoking a "joint" is a difficult leap for me. Does it seem to you that DUIs, rapes and child molestations, family violence, and habitual criminals have been more agresively procescuted in the past several years? I wonder if that has also contributed to the increased jail population? Locally we have had a few "cold cases" [murders,6] that are over a decade old finally being solved and the people going to jail. I don;t know if this is a change of any significance.
Shava,
I admit to my ignorance of drug use and whehter it is simply a problem for the poor or if it is a personal choice.
If there is anything to what the media reports, over the time period of the increase in the jail population, the changes in drugs has been from LSD to meth, while heroin, marijuana, and cocane have been used and available for a couple hundred years. I wonder if all or the vast majority of the users of the harder drugs, those that impact on people other than the user, simply started with the meth and angels dust?
In 2006, the government says:
Here's a fun fact from the feds: "If incarceration rates remain unchanged, 6.6% of U.S. residents born in 2001 will go to prison at some time during their lifetime."
One in eight prisoners has a current or prior drug offense only.
You can find a million sources on the web that show that there are disproportionate incarcerations by class and race. Is that even in dispute these days? You can mine source data here.
Whether you are liberal or conservative it should be obvious that what we are doing now is simply not working.
From the liberal perspective, we are not remediating the inequities of education, race, and helping the hardships of the poor, addicted and mentally ill.
From the conservative viewpoint, we have a radical failure of the social contract, and an evaporation of personal responsibility on the part of a huge swath of the general population, and the burden of incarceration is becoming uncontrolled.
So regardless of your political bent, shouldn't we be searching for solutions?
If we believe that it is a rare exception that those in jail are innocent, we can look whether the system made them commit the crimes and why, or we can look at why the individual committed the crimes?
If we believe that it is the laws and their enfocrement that have put all of those people in jail; we can ask why society has chosen the laws and how they are enforced, we can look at what society expects incarceration to do for society and the those people jailed, and we can assess whether it has been effective?
If we believe that it is simply a political ploy that has been played on society for individual politiacians' gains; we can try to understand why we have been so gulible for so many years, and how that this has continued so long and at such an ever increasing volume with so many changes in the politicians perpetuating it?
Once we have answered the why's we can then discuss how might address the changes, and how we could work on implementing it inlur own communities rather then wating for a socal ground swell to make it happen at the natioinal level.
What is you choice?
Think about it...even if you are making $10.00 and hour, that is $400 a week, minus 20 percent for taxes, you are down to $320 a week to live on. That's $16,640 dollars a year...if you have a couple of kids, you are LIVING BELOW THE POVERTY RATE! Your kid gets sick, you need some cough medicine and cannot afford it, you are going to try to steal it. Maybe you sell a bit of pot on the side to try to make ends meet, or sell your body to cover your kid's ballet classes.
There are crimes that are serious, and those who commit them should be sent to prison for a long time, and I even support the death penalty for certain crimes against humanity...however, when we force people into committing crimes because they can not earn a living wage, something is seriously wrong with the system.
If you legalize crack, you will still find empty refrigerators, hungry children and money in the home of addicts, because the money only goes to feed addiction.
Prison is not a bad idea, it is one of society's ways of telegraphing to an addict that they have hit rock bottom - a necessary step to recovery.
If you want to discuss reorganizing the prison system to more effectively treat addicts we have a basis to talk - but the concept that drug offenses are victimless is extremely naive.
It is also EXTREMELY naive to believe that people turn to crime for economic reasons.
Criminals rarely steal for "money" what they are stealing for is "time". Even at $10/hr, the economics of crime suggest that one would earn more by working than by criminal activity. The true reality of criminal behavior is that crime does not pay that well.
Then why turn to crime? The answer is simply, if you work eight hours a day, you cannot get high, stay high and party for those eight hours. Most criminals prefer to steal those eight hours of idleness rather than spent it working.
In the 60's and 70's society made the decision that the majority of women should work outside the home. For better or for worse, this decision put an end to the ability of a single wage earner to support a family.
Let's face up to the reality that the consequences of feminism was the two-wage earner family, an arrangement that bid up the price of everything: from food, rent, house prices, cars, to clothes.
Wishing will not change this.
But let's look at your numbers with two incomes. $10/hr * 2 * 2080 hours in a year = $41,600. While that is slightly less than the average 2006 American household income of $48,600, it is more than adequate for a family of four.
The problem is not $10 an hour jobs, it is the impulsiveness of vast segments of our society that leads them to forget the simple secret of success:
1) Stay off drugs.
2) Finish High School.
3) Put off having children.
4) Get married
5) Stay married.
I fail to grasp what you see as a problem.
Drug dealers SHOULD be in prison. Why would an sane society allow people who exploit addiction to gain unearned wealth to walk the streets?
Are you pretending that people in federal prison are simply hapless hippies who lit up a joint? While I am sure that someone can pull such an anecdote out of a hat, it is by no means representative of who is in federal prisons.
The question we need ask ourselves is: what are these people going to do to gain unearned wealth if drugs were legal? Do you honestly think they would find some other line of work?
Love the way you want to BLAME everything on the individual...fact, illegal aliens in our work force have driven down wages to the tune of $200 Billion a year, the average lower and middleclass workers wages suppressed by over seven percent...using your own numbers if both husband and wife are working, that gives you lost income of $2800. Lot of money at that step in the economic ladder.
Two workers, income of $40K is not take home. $8K goes to takes, so right there you are down to $32K. 10 gallons of gas a week is $35 times fifty two weeks is $1800 a year, so now the family has $30K to live on. $1200 a month for rent (CHEAP around here) rounded off short is $14K which brings money to live on down to $16K.
Of course, we have utilities (heat, electric, phone, cable, online) and will peg that all at $500 month...my own combined bill for these items including heating oil is almost $1000, so feel half of that is more than fair for an average. That's $6K a year, so now the family is down to $10K for everything else.
Everything else includes shopping for those two kids school clothes, medical and dental expenses, a car payment, car insurance, car repairs, oh, and LETS NOT FORGET FOOD. So, that average family of four living on $40K a year has about $844 each month to cover all of this. To put this in perspective, this family has $192.00 a week to cover all these remaining expenses, and FEED THE FAMILY.
You State: Drug Dealers SHOULD be in prison. Why would an sane society allow people who exploit addition to gain unearned wealth to walk the streets?
Ever seen how much advertising the drug, beer and alcoholic beverage companies do? Tobacco companies? Our government, big business are fine with us having additions, as long as those additions are to their PRODUCTS. I made it very clear in my post that there are people in prison who deserve to be there, who should remain there. There are also hundreds of thousands of people who DO NOT DESERVE to be there, and it costs us as tax payers BIG DOLLARS to keep them there. Face it, our prison our full because it has BECOME BIG BUSINESS. As for Federal Prisons...most of those are a bit more cushy and reserved for our nations White Collar criminals when they get caught bilking average Americans out of their pensions and savings...think Enron as example.
Just as example...Upper Middleclass, and the rich and elite do cocaine because they can afford. When they get caught and prosecuted they get probation. The poor man does crack, and if they get caught, prosecuted they get prison time....guess you do not see and injustice there?
I would estimate that fully half of men and women working today would not do so if there were some way to allow them to remain home and still have enough money to pay bills, mortgage, etc. The average wage earner cannot make it on one salary today.
All that feminism really did was give women the same choices that men have always had. For some women as for some men, staying home, tending the kids, etc. is a happy and fulfilling life. I personally know a lot of women and some men who would be happy and content to do that today if they could manage financially. For others, both male and female, staying home and doing nothing but housework and changing diapers is a ready road to the funny farm. Being born female doesn't mean that you don't have other drives, are not talented, intelligent, ambitious, etc. Woman are actually as individual as are men and I am not sure why the one size fits all mindset continued to exist beyond the industrial revolution other than the male need to dominate (in some cases, not all).
Women are not inferior to men in general. We are different. If men were measured by the standards of women, they too would be found wanting in almost every regard. Isn't it time we got rid of these outdated and outmoded stereotypes and accept people as they are. There is nothing wrong with a woman who chooses to remain home and be a housewife. There is also nothing wrong with a woman who does not.
I would be curious where you got that figure - but still it is utterly meaningless. The U.S. GDP is $13.79 Trillion. A $200 Billion reduction amounts to 1.45% - well under the rate of wage inflation.
I hardly see how a 1.45% reduction in wages would force anyone into a life of crime.
As for your family budget calculations - I hardly see what the problem is. Most people deal with those expenses quite effectively.
You would be hard pressed to find an economist who does not believe that women entering the work force (two family incomes) drove inflation. While it may be accurate to suggest that many women who did not want to work, were forced to work by their sisters who did -- the two-income family came first.
The point is simple.
There is no way that one average income earner is going to support a family. The only way to bring this about is limit families to one income.
I doubt that is ever going to happen.
Again, crime is mostly driven by toxic culture and addiction - almost never economics.
In fact, in America crime was at it LOWEST during the Great Depression and hit its HIGHEST during the affluent 90's.
Women in the work place means the luxury of two income families but it also means life is tougher on single parent households. We take the good with the bad.
The answer is not to turn back the clock to the age of single income families - it is to turn forward the clock to a time where the vast majority of people are educated, married and mature when they have children - and they stay married.
Now THAT would have a positive effect on the crime rate.
Just think - functional families!!! Healthy kids!!!
> What actually happened is that the cost of things such
> as housing and other critical items started escalating
> faster than the ability of a single earner to keep up.
My comment on this is off topic, but I hope to show the
relevence of it. Our whole modeling of the world by which
most of us think of the world and how to affect it for the
better is a total fiction.
Greg is touting an economic view of the world, which I think
has the most hope of being useful, but which has serious
drawbacks:
1) Economists themselves have not developed these ideas
to the point they are proven, or can be applied with certainty.
This is bascically another faith-based religion with some
simple mostly linear theories applied to a non-linear world
and with a hidden agenda of the practitioner behind it.
2) If we are a democracy, or a republic for that matter, a
theory that people do not understand and that cannot be
explained to them is not different that another religion, say
Islam.
To throw out the whole idea though would be incorrect.
Long term the soluion has to be education, but we can easily
see that this country is far from going anywhere near the
right direction if we want to have inteligent debates about
economics in the public forum.
Getting back to Carolyn's statement, it is not hard for us
all the see, and maybe even agree on some long term
negative trends in US society.
It is the mechanics and symbolism that gets in the way
of solving that, or even agreeing on what can be solved
by government. For instance during Gov. Mitt Romnery's
campaign I kept hearing he was going to fix the American
family. Ha!
But also wanted to throw in an opinion, and that is that
economists can predict things like if you lower taxes prices
will rise as much as possible to suck up any additional
income that families have, just like Carolyn's additional
comment. While most families benefit from having more
money when both parents work, some of that is just
because consumers have more money, period.
The idea that getting rid of taxes is going to make people
substantially richer is a fiction promoted by the right, of
that redirecting a large amount of money from taxes
to buisness is going to solve problems because money
is diverted to the private sector, look at the energy
companies, or the car companies, are we seeing problems
solved by big business?
Back to crime, I do agree with what Greg says, our justice
system works. It does not work perfectly, but Americans
have to get over the lazy idea that finding different ways
to talk about things and pretending like what is out there is
idiotic, attacking a straw man is not going to move us
forward in any way.
For some this means clinging desperately to the old ways and trying hard not to accept the change. You see this in the macho culture and in what I call redneck recidivism. Others embrace and then take the changes to extremes. Radical feminism was a good example of that. I tried burning my bra and trust me it was a flop. Still others take a middle approach. One group or the other gains ascendancy then drops and another rises.
Look at this objectively for a moment. You might find yourself understanding to some extent the anger and backlash of men against these changes. They played by the rules then just as they reached for that gold ring, someone slapped their hand away. The changes brought about by female emancipation are enormous and we are not beginning to see the end. It will take many more generations before equilibrium is reached.
Just think about it. Women no longer need men to survive. How huge is that? The entire social contract rested on that leg. Women agreed to keep house, bear and raise children, and accept a lot of things in exchange for financial and social security (not the checks but the network). One of the most damaging changes in our society is that because of this people are much less willing to work out their differences and fight to remain together. Women were expected to accept a lot of things in exchange for their security.
Please understand that I am not entirely blaming men. This is a huge social change that is still working its way out. I read a statistic recently that says that women are marrying later and many are refusing to marry at all. Another extreme. We have, as Bruce points out, far too many single parent families which makes things even rougher.
My point in all this is that the transition is still happening. Women in general have come a long way, but society still has a long way to go until these huge changes are incorporated and some sort of equilibrium is reached that is fair to both men and to women. I will not see that in my lifetime. I'm not sure my daughter will either.
I hope you don't mean that literally ;-)
The idea that women no longer need men to survive, I just
wonder what that is supposed to mean or project?
The main thing that has changed is the division of labor
within a relationship, and the nature of that relationship.
I do think there is something that is key to your post
Carolyn. It is about the nature of society and men.
Dominance in the society is not about sex anymore, it is
about money, power, earnings ability. The nature of power
strategy and politics is really being screwed up.
It may be that it is in the nature of men to be dominant,
or to see things in that way. A book I recently read said
that what might have given human beings the edge in
evolution was the division of labor.
If you look into ancient sites you see neanderthals were
in a troup, like chimps and the great apes are today.
What may have made human beings so much more
efficient and set us on the road to dominance (there's
that word) is the economic division of labor.
That has led in many ways to what we have today.
Also it has led to the formation of power stratified
away from sexes and more on classes.
The class of CEO's, investors, lawyers, politicians,
rich folk is not so much of an open class, ie. the wealth
and power of the country.
These people are the leadership class, and like the
differences in men and women that occurred from
prehistory when we were unconscious of it, we are
now consscious of the other classes who depend
on the management class, as groups of early humans
depended on the male hunter class to supplement
their diets and keep them secure, a culture is being
evolved, that is not equal. It is not what we have in
the consitution or declaration of all men being equal.
You do not have to invoke or want communism to
socialism to desire to keep the levels of society
in flux instead of static.
What good is it if men and women are equal -
horizontally, but people even more unequal
vertically?
I really can't disagree [as much as I would like to] with many of your points, you simply take a broader view than I can.
I personlize each of your points, and that limits my perspective to seeing the issues through the individual and their actions. Individual's develop expectations for themselves and make the choices how to achieve them and take actions on those choices.
I expect it is rare where a person is forced to commit a crime by others. It seems that they do it because they feel it is easy (less effort) than the alternatives (school), it will give them quick tangible results (money in hand), and the risk of getting caught seems remote. THey also have the time to do the crime. IN Greg's example of the Depression, I expect that people were spending so much time and effort to survive they couldn't do crimes.
I dare say that since the 50's the technology changed us away from the strong back to the strong mind, the our country has mde every effort to give everyone in society a lesser burden of survival, giving them more time. With time we can make choices.
The freedom of choice for women that Carolyn talks about happen in the same time frame. Individual women had more time, more choices, and the jobs were less dependent on physical strength.
bruce yuor example about division of labor fits, but rahter than it being society driven, I see it as individually driven. The individual gains more from speicalizing so they choose it, society doesn;t tell them.
The resistance isn;t to any group or class it is individual resistance to change, the greater expectations competition creates and what is necessary to meet them.
bruce it isn;t equality of people it is equality of opportunity. The skills may create an economic stratification, but it doesn;t create classes. If yuo have the skills and the ability to execute, you can change your status.
India has the cass society and yet it is creating a new economic stratification that breaks the cass ssytem. IN China, they have had the single class by need, and yet today it individuals are changing the sytem by ability and effort.
I look at society, culture, and the world as individual choices and try to percieve why they are making the choices. If it were simply about money and power, and the need to survive we wouldn;t have the single income families, the "soccer moms", stay at home dads, and even multi-children families, we are not spending our time just for survival we have time for choices.
> choose it, society doesn;t tell them.
> bruce it isn;t equality of people it is equality of opportunity.
> India has the cass society
caste society.
I guess my point is that if I specialize my skills I lose some
choices. There is something we do when we specialize.
If I am an artist, it is likely that I do not understand math
very well, or science. What we have is a vertical power
struggle between the leadership classes who rig the system
to be friendly to them and against others.
No one should lose or be eternally stuck in one track
because they have specialized to help meet societies
needs.
I think a lot of people reject society and become criminals
because the demands of society are strict, rigid, and not
pay off relative to the freedom one gets by rejecting all
of that and taking an oppositional tack to being exploited.
The labor market, especially the labor market opened up
all over the world is a really losing propostion that will
and already is disenfranchising much of the American
middle class
The war on terror could partly be about criminalizing
the laboring classes while maintaining schools and
educational opportunities at barely sufficient to get
by and keep prices high. Imagine how many people
are marginalized by this system, and how much
potential productivity is wasted, all in the name of
keeping things in order under one system that
functions.
I know you were speaking of economics, but the point is key.
My grandparents had a ritual, every other friday at the supper table, my grandfather would present his pay check to my grandmother. It was more than a symbol of unity and respect. It was the economics of the family. He earned, she made the financial decisions. Interestingly, women control the checkbook in 80% of U.S. homes.
An interesting fact, by 1954 more women were in the work place than were working at the height of female employment during WWII. In effect, the modern feminist movement was surfing a wave that already existed.
Sadly, the modern feminist message radicalized from "you too can do it" to "you don't need men".
The reality then, and the reality now is men and women need each other, as they have always needed each other. They desperatly need each other economically, socially, and as partners in the raising of children.
Today the poverty of children is driven by single parenthood. If we are going to do anything about crime we need to address social dysfunction, and the best place to do that is to focus on family formation.
Good Lord Bruce.
If you take the budget of the Minneapolis School District and divide it by the number of children enrolled, you get a figure of $19,200 per year and we still have a 40% drop rate.
Where does "the war on terror" fit into this picture?
Let me be blunt. For 75 years, the left has focused on spending astronomical sums of money for the stated purpose of "solving social problem". In reality, those dollars have been spent on building a vast poverty and educational industry which did little more than foster dependency. What those dollars did do was build a liberal constituency.
The result has been growing crime and dysfunction.
I grew up in a poor mixed race neighborhood. As poor as it was, families were intact and kids did reasonably well in school. The black families in that neighborhood, despite chronic unemployment, were more intact than suburban families are today.
Crime in that neighborhood was lower than in modern suburbs.
When someone tries to blame crime, poverty, and dysfunction on recent economic developments, I ask them to go back and study the statistic then, and compare them to now, and then tell me again what caused the problem.
It has absolutely nothing to do with economics – the problem is toxic culture plain and simple --- one could say, the devastation of our urban cores was caused by four things – sex, drugs, rock'n roll and The Great Society that fostered dependency as an alternative to a sane stable life-style.
I am not buying the assumption that in the article that the people in China or Russia are more law abiding or moral that here in the states.
We have been counting crime incidents since the 1930's. All agencies are required by federal law to submit Uniform Crime Reports (UCR), this will soon be replaced by the National Incident Based Reporting System (NIBRS).
In addition, the Bureau of Justice Statistics (BJS) does annual crime victimization surveys to measure the instance of unreported crime.
In other words, "crime" is very different from prosecution.
One of the things that pops out when you look at crime statistics is that violent crime has increased by a factor of 20 in most metropolitan areas since the 1950's.
But you are right in a way. For instance when we look at homicide, are we really looking at murder or are we looking at the effectiveness of our emergency care? In other words, the difference between aggravated assault and homicide is how fast the victim gets to the emergency room, and how effective the ER is.
On the other hand when you measure aggravated assault, you see an arc starting in the 1950's peaking in the 1990's and falling off in the last decade.
See Aggravated assault and Motor vehicle theft rate
Notice how the trends run completely counter to economic indicators. One could suggest that the better a society does economically, the more crime.
I for one, love that little dip in crime during the "Reagan Recession".
though most things are related to economics. The comment you
are quoting was a reply to Duane.
I do not know what your statistic has to do with schools or how
it relates to students. That $19,200 covers what?
You can blame toxic culture, but what does that mean?
This was just at the time when everything in our culture
really changed? How are you going to control for multiple
variables.
Vietnam and the assassinations?
Watergate, disrespect for authority?
Movies, TV, violence and sex going up, lack of morality?
Catering or pandering to the individual in products, but
also in morality, if it feels good do it?
The lowering of standards and prison terms?
The rise is gangs and organized crime?
The rise of conservatism, and the fall of liberalism?
Music being more sexual and violent and less political?
Many more immigrants let into the country from all over?
Rising real estate prices?
Lowered expectations?
Cheating in schools and business uncontrolled?
No funding for mental hospitals, in CA closed down and
patients put on the street?
Cocaine/crack epidemic?
AIDS?
Rising class sizes?
Societies will always have problems. Some of these problem will have measurable impacts on crime other will not. For instance, I am not sure how AIDS affects crime. Nor am I sure how "rising class size" affects crime or learning for that matter, when you consider that class sizes in the 1950's and 1960's ran close to 40 students per class but did not produce social upheaval.
Other things that you mentioned like "lowering wages" make no sense since median household income has been on the rise for 40 years. See Real Median Household Income
The only thing that has changed a great deal over the last 50 years is family formation. Today, the rise of single-parent households through the choice not to marry and divorce is the single largest factor contributing to the much heralded "decline of the middle-class". It far outstrips the relatively minor impacts of outsourcing, down-sizing and wage deflation as a factor in moving households below the threshhold of the middle-class.
Still we are talking about crime.
None of the factors you mentioned other than the rise of drugs and subsequent rise of drug-dealing gangs affects crime. What you did not mention is cultural expectations.
I am not sure your "lower expectations" really covers the expectation of the under-class to live a life of crime and dependency.
So you are saying that a shift in population to poor immigrants REDUCES crime?
The graph shows an increase in crime as poverty dropped and a decrease in crime in the last decade as the immigrant communities have grown.
I am not sure what you are trying to say.
Are you actually saying that the rise of conservativism, Bush and immigration has dramatically reduced crime?
These simple graphs of numbers do not prove the causalities you seem to want to infer from them.
Greg, you are just thinking linearly, latching onto one view of things and making a hit and run statement about it. That really does not take much though, or lead to any great conclusions or prove anything.
There is not one cause for all of this, or just rising crime.
If you want to say that divorce and the rise in single head of
household families is your single cause, then I would say the
rise in divorce happened for a reason, any number of the
reasons I cited.
Of course I am not saying that Conservatism reduced crime,
are you saying that divorce increases crime?
We are not really that far apart. We both agree the problem is loss of the "country's culture". If you want to read a good book on the problem, read The Great Disruption by Francis Fukuyama.
He refers to a loss of "social capital". This can be everything from simple courtesy to community participation.
Fukuyama points to a number of things, but mostly points to the decline in family formation.
And yes, divorce does increase crime. Not all divorce increases crime, but divorce that results in children being raised in a single parent home has a direct measurable impact on crime.
Here is the result of a quick Google search. I cannot vouch for the site, but the text agrees with most widely accepted views on the matter.
Source
Also another Source
Not every kid in a single parent household grows up without an investment in the social contract, but there's a far higher chance. It's not the fault of the single parents or the divorce laws per se, I think -- but it is the fault of all of us, that we take relationships (even those that involve kids) casually.
For example, if you go back a couple generations, my family is very "old country." I have two ex-husbands who both left me for younger women. In days of old, my older relatives and in-laws would have had a pretty un-gentle talk with my husband if he wandered. These days people just say "oh, well, he was following his bliss!"
It's not our business to interfere with the breakup of a marriage, any more than in previous years it was anyone's business to interfere if a husband beat the living crap out of his wife and/or kids. Well, the liberalization of divorce laws was supposed to give women the freedom to escape bad relationships, to a large extent. But what it has done, to a large extent, is been co-opted by men to preserve their freedom from having to cope with personal responsibility.
Although I consider myself left of center, I am socially conservative in that I believe we have issues with the culture and family that have destroyed social capital and the integrity of the social fabric. Our social contract is under attack from media-dazed generations who have no social skill, and only feel that they need to do what is required to get paid, not what is best for their communities. In this, I will say that the kids in jail are no more culpable than many suburban yuppies who give minimum effort at their work, no contribution to their community, and just add to the burden of the ecosystem disproportionally without giving back squat.
Unfortunately most liberal and conservative strategies are firmly planted in symptoms rather than causes -- because you can measure symptoms. So we incarcerate people, but we don't try to determine why they behave poorly. If we do, we say "product of divorce" as though that were the last step -- or go one step further to say "product of liberalization of divorce laws."
What we don't do is ask, "How can we reach young people and get them plugged back into community?"
I teach a class at MIT's Educational Studies Program called "How to Save the World in Your Spare Time." It's a non-ideological course on community engagement, community organizing, and applied civics.
The first image the kids see is a little stick figure at the base of a brick wall, and behind the wall a menacing gray cloud labeled "Government." I ask, "How many of you think this is the world you live in?" Generally every hand goes up.
I tell them, "My job in the next two hours is to teach you how illusory this is." And in two hours I can take a classroom of 7th-12th graders, and show them how society really works -- interested parties engaging in dialogue, media, and politics to change the world in the way they want to see it change.
We think it's terrible that we don't teach kids to balance a checkbook, but we don't think twice about the fact that children have NEVER learned real civic engagement in school (even my 1960's civics classes were taxonomic -- 50 states, 100 Senators, 9 justices,...).
But so long as we produce poor kids for incarceration and well-off kids as Enron employees, the system will be rotten to the core, and deteriorating.
So what can you do to change that? Do you volunteer in the schools? Do you go to city council meetings? Participate in a political party, or at least issue-related nonprofits, in your community (and don't start me on MoveOn and such -- that's an illusion of engagement -- connect with people who are already plugged into your community, please!) Do you even vote?
I am not sold on the view that education is be undermined by the war on terror, or that people are being marginalized.
There are people coming out of this educational system that are achieveing financial and personal success, while others are struggling to meet a common view of minimal needs. a significant difference between these two apths has more to do with the expectations each person has for themwelves and the choices they make to meet those expectatoins. There are kids living in the same neighborhoods, going to the same schools, and are achiving different results. What is the diference, the individuals, not some distant organizatoin.
Sheva,
The way I look at change is starting with that is closest to me [I can touch], second I don;t look for others to make the change for me.
Engaging the issues here [on Gather], offering your perspective and mehtods addrssing the issues, listening to others ideas, and discussing the differnece and the results we would like to see.
The difference from your youth is the accountablility of the individual, and with the loss of that accountability has been a strong infleunce on the changes in our society.
The discussion here is about the numbers and how bad htat is, there is little ineterst in the individuals and their respsobilities for the those numbers.
The feeling that events and organizations are the cause for individuals situation is a symptom of the move away from person control of their lives, and when people are excused from their control of their lives it is easier to give up on making the effort.
If bruce paused for only a moment thinking that whether the individual has some control of their lives, no accpeting that simply thinkng about it would justify all this discussion. [Since you don't know me well, a clarification, this is a humorous comment because bruce is thouhgtful.]
Back to what can we do, I have moved beyond my family and most recently been part of a program that talked to 8th graders about how a stronger high school curriculm will give them choices.
What people expect of themselves has more to do with what they achieve than it is given credit for achievement.
Well, actually Sheva, it is our business because society created this problem.
Let's start with the facts. Women are the ones who initiate divorce 80% of the time (Brinig & Allen 2000). Not oddly women receive custody of minor children well over 80% of the time. In fact, grandparents receive custody of young children more often than fathers.
You mention men beating women and men abandoning women. The facts are that the four "A" of divorce: Abuse, Addiction, Abandonment and Adultry are only cited for the reason in 13% of all divorces. We know this because of numerious surveys and the four states who require the reason to be given for separation.
So what is the most often cited reason for divorce? It is "personal growth" on the part of the wife, not "my husband is a bad guy". In surveys, most divorced women do not fault their husband at all for the failure of the marriage.
So?
So what we are finding is that main driver for divorce among married people with children is the expectation of the wife that she will retain physical custody of the children - and in the case of middle-class divorces, that she will benefit from generous child support.
So what can we do?
Reform divorce and reform child custody and support by following the simple legal principle of gender equality.
When women have the expectation that they will have to share custody and share the expense of paying child support divorce drops like a stone.
The Economist: The Frayed Knot
I found this segment especially sad.
Busy all day and unable to get back to read this alot has been said.
Greg, true we see different sides of the same issue and different
ways to affect it.
> He refers to a loss of "social capital".
This is essentially why I support what is called "socialism".
Not because I am not a capitalist, or do not love freedom,
or like communism (I don't) but because I see the failure
of our system in maintaining a society that is socially
sustainable when money and power is the bottom line
and human values are only given lip service.
I see the people from all over the world come here to
the US. Why are some many coming from Europe, India
and China? Why are Americans coming from a totally
different place inside a business than these people.
We have a model of the world that does not work.
It destroys cooperation, breeds chaos and cheating.
In high tech and science we are not suceeding because
our society is better, we are succeeding because we
pay better. We do this by shorting our own country in
a way.
No one wants the government to be oppressive or over
regulated, but those in the US who cry most about it are
the ones who as soon as they get some freedom screw
the country out of billions of dollars and head overseas.
Citizens in Europe feel the support they get from their
societies, it is not lip service. Here in America we put
anxiety and fear and people that is measurable, we make
people's lives so unnecessarily hard and full of friction
that they are measurably more likely to succumb to
certain diseases, and we do this in the name of freedom.
The mental contradictions of this country I think also
contribute to things like crime and shootings, but I'm not
a sociologist. Our popular mind is full of violence and
crime.
I have not had a chance to read the subsequent comments
but did see Mrs. Ballard. The problem is that the mathematics
of the underlying reality of the lives of peolpe in these situations
is never going to be analyzed by them.
I don't mean this to be condescending, but for women to have
children at an age where the consequence of that decision are
largely imagined by what they think they seee in the media and
around them but do not really understand is killing the country.
I remember when I was in high-school there was a woman who
got pregnant and had the child. She went on welfare and acted
the victim mother. She had parties for all the burnouts in the
school drinking and drugtaking while her kid would crawl on the
floor in front of blaring speakers and navigating the garbage on
the floor. Multiply this by thousands or millions and the money
that is burned up by this stuff is staggering. I still want to puke
thinking about that to this day.
Good Lord Bruce,
Either you have not been to Europe or you have spent too much time at the tourist attractions. Crime in Britian, France, and Germany is rampant. Europe has always had a much higher crime rate than in the United States. The majority of that has been property crime but in recent years, violent crime, especially assault and rape have passed the U.S.
One, of many sources
As for the justice and wisdom of Socialism forget it. Most of Europe has a multi-tiered society where some groups have social protections and others do not. This is especially true in France and Germany who have racial tiering that would make an old Southern segragationist blush.
In France, if you are white you probably have a subsidized rent controlled apartment, a job for life and access to clean, modern schools and healthcare facilities. On the other hand, if you are of Algerian or Mali descent, you live in a Stalinist apartment block that makes Cabrini-Green look like heaven. Your job is not protected, the school is crowded and ill equiped, and god help you if you have to go to the hospital or clinic.
Why do you think the French suburbs burn every few years?
If you are going to talk European Socialism, you better brush up on their class-system first. Yup, even the Socialists are class-driven.
Now let's talk about what supports Socialism in Europe. The answer is unbridled, brass-knuckles, no holds barred capitalism run by a wealthy elite who is limited to the graduates of a single elite university whose entry is strictly controlled by class and family connections.
Want to know why the French opposed the U.S. intervention in Iraq. It had NOTHING to do with "working through the UN" or morality or fear of George Bush. The French foreign policy is driven by TOTAL S. A. (the French version of hybrid between Exxon and Haliburton).
In Germany, its worse.
The class system you are describing is largely based on immigration policy, which is orthagonal to class. Socialist systems are easily overwhelmed by refugees and such, so there is a structural reason for them to be shy to accept immigration regardless of race/origin. There are shortcuts for skilled and educated workers regardless of skin color or origin; those people are highly respected, even when their French is mediocre. ;)
Crime stats information I find varies from your a lot, perhaps because yours talks about rate of growth and mine talks about rate of crime per thousands of people.
I invite you to consider that your sources may not be as balanced as you think.
New York Times: Elite French Schools Block the Poor's Path to Power
I could not disagree with you more on your statement "The class system you are describing is largely based on immigration policy" The problem is race not immigration. Most of the people burning the suburbs of Paris were born in those suburbs - not abroad. Many of those people are children born of parents, born in those suburbs.
The suburbs of Paris burn for a reason.
Among the "white" population - class is still strong. It is very difficult for children of "lower classes" to gain entrance to elite school, see article above.
As for the crime statistic, look again at your graph. The United States comes in at the middle of the range of crimes per captia. Sadly, the graph does not include the heavy hitters of France, Germany, Spain or Italy.
Again from The Weekly Standard: A Continent of Broken Windows
See THE 2004/05 INTERNATIONAL CRIME VICTIMS SURVEY
Add folks like Brown, MIT and the military academies (elite schools, but not traditional "Ivies") and it's well over 80% for US presidents, going all the way back to Harding.
The only relatively recent exceptions are Reagan and Truman.
I'm sorry, that's just not compelling, as a comparison. We do not so much better. Yale Law School, Harvard Law, Annapolis, all have their elite status, and are not so integrated. I live a stone's throw from Harvard, and have known students who felt more pressured by the culture of conformity than by the academic demands. Even the Harvard Crimson documents the less lockstep but still strong admissions of the elite 16 prep schools in the northeast, here.
I was a scholarship student at Bryn Mawr College, and my dorm mate first semester was a "legacy." We had disagreements, and although it was proven that she was breaking every rule in the book, she got the favorable outcome -- because she was a legacy. This was 1977, which isn't quite ancient history.
There is *plenty* of elitism and classism in the good universities in the US, although it is somewhat fading.
Let's forget the elite schools for a moment. Me, I am a high school drop out. I stun my European counter-parts when I tell them that at conferences. I also stun people I met in bars when I tell them what I do. Most of them never had a chance to make it to college or a good school because they were "tracked" into their stations in life by a simple test in what we would know as "grade school".
In the U.S. our class system is soft. In Europe it is as hard as a rock. In Germany, if you did not get into the Gynasium, your not going to a good college, and what I mean by good college is what most Americans would know as State University.
Good help you if you are Algerian or a Turk.
I rather look at where we are and look for ways we might change to improve peoples chances for a better life.
I look to the individual and how to influence them rather than defer to government or some other structure that takes the responsibility for peoples lives.
Do we feel that we have unjustifiedly jail too many people, or do we feel the cost of the incarceration is too much? ONce we have decide between the two we can then look at how to address the isssues to change it.
My view on laws and jails; laws are designed to facility people to live in close prozimty with others and not infringe on their pursuit of happiness or it is to capture the current thinking of the majority of society. ENforcement/confinement of those laws is designed to provide a means for discouraging the violation of the laws, at least while they are in jail the opportunity for violation is severely limited.
SInce I believe people make a personal choice to break a law, we might also may want to discuss how to help people to make the choice not to break laws.
Perhaps if we put more subprime lenders in jail, and fewer pot smokers, we'd be better off as a society? ;)
Sure it has, it deters the people who are in jail.
The purpose for three-strikes is to cut-off the usual long, long, long list of felonies – at three.
From what I have seen over my twenty years in criminal justice, most criminals live lives utterly oblivious to fiscal policy, social policy, the war - or much else.
It is stunning to walk into a crime scene and note that there is not a single printed word in the entire house. All too often there is not even a television or radio. There is usually a boom box - but that is a device to isolate the household from the outside world rather than to assimulate it.
You overwhelm me, all of a sudden you have all the social and governmentlal at once to be addressed. Its like yuo have asked us to set done to eat and yuo have served up an elephant. For me even to think about eating it, I need to start with one small bit, for this discussion it can be laws and there enforcement or reducing the numbers of incarcerated people.
What do you think the purpose of our laws should be? IS it to protect people from others violent actions, is it capture the common will of society at that point in time, is it to provide fairness to all, it to protect people from their own bad judgement, is it facilitate more and more people to live together will each makes their choices in life, or is there something else yuo feel laws should do?
It could be reducing the number of people in jails, it could be reducing the cost of the jails, it could be some other facet of enforcement and consequences, what are yuo mst concern with?
I feel that there are at least a few people reading that are giving some real thought to this article and the thread, if we pick a single point to focus on we will get some really good thoughts and comments.
When the U.S. government decided to spray Monsanto chemicals in the highlands of Columbia, the choice of upper on the U.S. street moved to meth, which is really not controllable because it can be made out of easily obtained things.
Meanwhile, Americans still seem to believe the FDA protects them from things. Why would anyone believe such a thing?
Citizens are not afraid of libraries. There are some functions of government that are not easily corrupted and made menacing.
As for who is in prison, it's the same as the dog pound, I think. Largely the docile guys smoking pot who were easy to catch and slap cuffs on. Meth dealers, no, they are too dangerous to intercept. It's easier to just let them prey on the meek.
Also, please understand that the oil industry has the lobbyists to make sure that marijuana is classified as a more dangerous drug than meth. This is because the hemp plant could supply enough energy and other industrial chemicals and products to compete seriously with oil.
Organic companies like Dr. Bronner's have taken on the oil industry on this issue. Their products are popular enough that they could afford the legal cost of doing this. The oil fat cats are having trouble suppressing everything that could compete, even with the huge subsidies and tax breaks they have historically gotten from Congress.
Someone close to me worked for a defense contractor. The weapon he worked on never passed performance tests. That way they got more money every year.
The level of crass unpunished corruption in government trickles down. It's just that the poor can easily be set up to take the falls.
Make no mistake about it, that an easily grown plant is serious contraband means that any official grabbing some from an evidence room or anywhere else can plant it on your property or person and have you busted. This happened to a state legislator in Oregon when her marriage went bad.
Those who believe people do not get busted for one joint are the naive ones.
I can believe that people get busted for the one (even their first) joint. I also belie that they know it is illegal, so they make a choice knowing full well wha the consequecnes can be.
I am a bit more sketical about govenrment setting up people is a major reason for the size of the prison population. Iknow each time I have recieved a ticket that it was legitimate.
Was the Oregon legislator set up by the govenrment or a pissed off spouse?