If youâ€™re paying attention, you probably know about the fraudulent award given to Julisa Castillo in Beeville, TX. Someone, either joking around or trying to do something nice for a young lady, sent her a phony award and a letter. A pretty dumb thing to do, Iâ€™m sure we all agree [KLC Note July 4 2010--her father confessed to making up the award. It was a misguided effort to do something nice for his daughter...that blew up in his face.]
Hereâ€™s the newspaper article that stimulated this brouhaha: Beeville Girl Wins Award
Putting aside a joke-gone-awry (or whatever it was), letâ€™s take a look at her work, shall we? According to this newspaper article: Pretty Creative, hereâ€™s what she concluded from her study:
â€œThere is not enough evidence to prove global warming is occurring,â€ fourth-grader Julisa Raquel Castillo concluded in a science project she entered in the campusâ€™ annual science fair on Tuesday.
Julisa studied temperatures in Beeville for the past 109 years to develop her conclusion.
She researched online data basis of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, or NOAA, the National Weather Service, and checked out books on climate change at the Joe Barnhart Bee County Library.
â€¢ temperatures rose and fell from 1900 to 1950.
â€¢ temperatures in Beeville cooled down over a 20-year period beginning in 1955 and ending in 1975.
â€¢ Since 2001, temperatures in Beeville have grown cooler year after year.
I agree with her point, which I talk about in this article: Little Carbon Dioxide Suns.
And the point is, if a signal is truly global, then it will be present in all samples. This will be true unless there is some problem with the data caused by the instrumentation or the sample location has some unusual source of noise, or there is some other problem. If there is a problem, then that data should be discarded. There is no validity to combining noisy databases. I know weâ€™re supposed to put our faith in the climate analysis experts who mix and adjust the data until it looks right to them. Nonsense, I say. Pick a record that is as clean as possible and examine all you want. If there is a signal, youâ€™ll find it. For me (and Julisa), we looked at temperature data and noticed it goes up and it goes down and there is no correlation to the CO2 â€œsignalâ€.
I know the progressives like to wear their holier-than-thou self-righteous attitude like a fashion statement. They like to think of themselves as brave warriors busy trying to save the world from the evils of human activity. But, the thing is, if you really want to see courage, try making a case against the conventional wisdom. Study whatever data you can find and draw a conclusion. Stand by it. That takes guts.
I can only imagine the peer pressure and teaching staff â€œguidanceâ€ that Julisa experienced. I salute her courage in standing up against the â€œsettled scienceâ€ of global warming.
In fact, I appreciate her courage so muchâ€¦I will give her a little award and even better, $100 that she can save for the trip sheâ€™d reportedly like to take to Space Camp. In addition, I'll send her a copy of A. W. Montford's delicious book The Hockey Stick Illusion when I get them in stock in a few weeks.
Who knows? If others agree and want to send a little award and some cash, my guess is sheâ€™d really appreciate it.
What do you think? Are you in?
Update: August, 12, 2010. I got a nice thank-you note from our young climate scientist (see scan)...my friend, Julisa. You're welcome, young lady. Stay true to what you believe and you'll be fine.