I spotted this tidbit today while websurfing:
Observers flying over Alaska's northwest coast spotted nine polar bears in one day swimming in the open ocean.Scientists say this is an increase from previous surveys that may indicate warming conditions are forcing bears to make riskier, long-distance swims to stable sea ice or land.A federal marine contractor, Science Applications International Corp, spotted the bears in the Chukchi Sea during a survey flight.The survey flight was scouting land for the Minerals Management Service in advance of future offshore oil development.
The tidbit goes on to explain that polar bears are often forced to jump into the sea and swim to the next batch of ice if the ice field they are on breaks up in warm weather. A polar bear can swim 10 miles, no problem. A polar bear can swim 50 miles, maybe, if a storm or strong current does not interfere. A hundred miles? Not likely. Two hundred? Get serious. These 9 polar bears apparently had the bad luck to have their ice field fall apart. They looked around, saw no ice, and decided to swim north- most likely place to find ice. But the ice is 400 miles away. You do the math.
And the irony of it is that the airplane was not there to observe polar bears drowning. It was there to make observations in preparation for siting oil wells in the arctic, wells that will produce more oil which will be burned to produce more CO2 which will go up in the sky and exacerbate the greenhouse effect and cause more ice to melt and drown more polar bears. It would be funny- if it were not so sad. And we behave as if the demise of a fellow mammal that is dependent on a certain set of factors in its environment has nothing to do with the future of the 7 billion members of the human race. Really, denial squad, don't worry be happy. ignorance is bliss.


Comments: 45
''Give me more tax breaks/wealth and possessions.''
Drill,drill,drill......................................
Man 1 Earth 0.
Games about over.
There won't be anything worth having left for them.
Polar bears are strong swimmers, and it's not unusual to see the occasional one so far from the land or the ice they hunt on.
Scientists say seeing so many (swimming bears) in one day is extraordinary and worrisome, especially in light of an apparent increase in drownings in recent years.
"The bottom line here is that polar bears need sea ice," said Richard Steiner of the University of Alaska's Marine Advisory Program.
"The sea ice is decaying, and the bears are in very serious trouble. For any people who are still non-believers in global warming and the impacts it is having in the Arctic, this should answer their doubts, once and for all."
Satellite images indicate there was little ice in the region where the bears were found Aug. 16.
Scientists said this year's meltdown in the Arctic could exceed the record set last year.
While polar bears in most of the Arctic will be able to survive until the ice comes back in the fall, the fear is they will be in serious trouble further down the road, as the Arctic continues to heat up.
"To find so many polar bears at sea at one time is extremely worrisome, because it could be an indication that, as the sea ice on which they live and hunt continues to melt, many more bears may be out there facing similar risk," says Geoff York, a polar bear biologist with the World Wildlife Fund.
"As climate change continues to dramatically disrupt the Arctic, polar bears and their cubs are being forced to swim longer distances to find food and habitat."
NOTE: the eventual fate of the 9 swimming bears is unknown, as the plane did not observe them at length to see their eventual fate. It is possible that some may have changed direction and made it to shore- but keep in mind that the bears do not want to go to land because there is NOTHING TO EAT there.
Climate change is not just some weird "cycle" as the denial squad argues. It is a climate alteration stemming from our burning fossil fuels in the amount of several million tons daily, thereby nearly doubling the carbonddioxide content of our sky. Carbon dioxide is invisible, but it is a fact.
John- global warming is a controversial issue for those who have not asked a scientist.
If someone wants to argue that it is too late to completely fix the Frankenstein we have created here, I would readily agree. Yes, it is probably impossible to go back completely now. But that fact is not a valid argument for doing nothing. If we CONTINUE to pump that CO2 into the sky, our descendants are going the way of the polar bear.
Hey but thats not me saying it; regardless whether the fate of the polar bears is an unfortunate one or not, it still does not make a valid case against "climate change" as a natural phenomenon.
Of course i'd already covered several links to "climate change" in my earlier article, nevertheless, are links on the subject:
http://www.gather.com/viewArticle.jsp?memberId=327245&articleId=281474977065384&nav=MyGather
SOME NEWER ARTICLES:
How is the artic ice really fairing?
http://www.theregister.co.uk/2008/08/15/goddard_arctic_ice_mystery/
Whats been the trend in the last few years?
http://www.propagandamatrix.com/articles/april2008/040408_cools_off.htm
http://www.planetark.com/dailynewsstory.cfm/newsid/49875/story.htm
What are the possibilities given the natural climate change occurances in future?
http://translate.google.com/translate?u=http%3A//www.milenio.com/mexico/milenio/nota.asp?id=651680&hl=en&ie=UTF8&sl=es&tl=en
http://www.coastalpost.com/08/03/08_Calm_Sun__Cold_Earth.html
http://www.prisonplanet.com/scientist-predicts-ice-age-within-10-years.html
I can't figure out why you have so many views, but so few comments, unless THAT many people really don't want to "get into it" about global warming vs. climate change or something like that. That's the only thing I can think of, Chris!
Save the polar bear, stop publishing articles!!
Nancy- that could be the explanation. Usually I get a bunch of guys like Dar attacking me and making long lists of websites run by Mexican podiatrists and Latvian astronomers explaining how we are headed into an ice age & explaining that I am jumping to conclusions. I am not jumping to conclusions unless the several hundred climatologists of the IPCC are jumping to conclusions.
No thanks, Dar, I get my climate news from the climate professionals of the IPCC (Intergovernmental panel on climate change). You can find somebody to argue with their analysis if you hunt around, but I am not interested in discussing denial science.
any other comments, Gather?
we are so blessed here at gather.
Not only is the science on this man made global warming shaky but also the funding behind behind it as well, not to mention their motives. The green revolutionists who are also the same names behind big oil, namely the international bankers (as i've shown in my article), have simply made "man" the problem for "climate change" and have simply come up with cocky solutions (problems actually) to screw man over. When it comes to the air, these Eco hypocrites raise fears & come up with things such as carbon credits which are essentially a taxing system for corporations finally passed down to the consumer. Then when when its comes to oil, they raise fears of oil supplies (i.e peak oil & that to raising fears of expectations in the near future) there by ripping us off on huge profits from gas prices as markets expectations respond to fears cause by manipulative information(V.Important:Remember those who started the green revolution are the same guys who own big oil, see my article for this).
Frankly speaking, Chris & i will never be on the same boat with this but for the rest of you, do not take my word for it or for that matter Chris's. Simply look at all the data provided by both of us & make up your own minds after researching all of it.
There is not one scientific organization or association worldwide that disputes the IPCC reports.
Re: polar bears, I'm afraid nothing will be done to affect their fate. We are in a period of massive species extinction due to climate change. Even if we were to completely stop man-made emissions right now, the ghgs already in the atmosphere will increase average global temperatures by around 2 degrees F. We will be lucky to stop it there, because we show no signs of any serious attempt to reduce ghgs. And while I can appreciate the sentiments expressed for polar bears, the fates of future generations also are affected by what we will do or not do to stop (and possibly reverse) ghg emissions.
I am not optimistic. Most Americans favor McCain's plan to drill for domestic oil in order to (supposedly) help them with the price of gas (which it will not do). We are like an addict, who will do anything for the next fix. Sadly, this addiction will also be our own undoing.
Sadly, I agree that you are probably right about the polar bear. A relic population may survive on the north shore of alaska, scavenging for garbage, maybe finding a dead moose or caribou, interbreeding with its cousin the grizzly bear now that the white coat will no longer be a survival asset in the absence of ice fields.
We could of course benefit from the negative example of the polar bear, if we have the character to pay attention. They say that humans are the only mammals capable of rational forethought, but its a dubious proposition. To benefit from a larger brain, you have to pay attention to what it tells you. Bush has busied himself re-writing the climate science reports from NASA and EPA, and most of our electorate does not have a big problem with that. After all, science is only important if it can build a better hamburger.
“hmm 58 views and no comments. that's odd. Does everybody agree with me?”
What do you want someone to disagree with? Do you want someone to say that people aren’t seeing polar bears swim miles and miles, that the ice isn’t melting, or that burning oil won’t generate CO2?
Are you looking for someone to say that the earth has been cooler then now and will be cooler again, or that the earth has been warmer than now and will be warmer again?
I would like to know what the denial crowd would like from me. To join them in ignoring science and in begging everyone else to ignore science as wel? To stop worrying because God is in charge, as I have been invited to do here on Gather? To rationalize our inaction and our abdication of world leadership because fighting climate change "costs too much"" - this from people who consider the half trillion we have spent in iraq to be well worth it?
I would like to stop worrying and get happy, really I would. It's not as if I am enjoying this. I honestly think I am capable of looking at myself objectively. The guy I see in th mirror does not obsess over climate change just because he can't get a date. My concern has to do primarily with my gradkids yet to be, and their kids as well. I want them to have a livable world, and that will not happen without some minds being changed.
I am not enough of a scientist or have too much experience to be overly concerned. As far as I have been told, the ambient temperature is rising (which I don’t disagree with). And just as many other things science there is ebb and flow. Greenland has been green before (remnants of villages have been found where there were hundreds feet of ice), suggesting that the temperature has cycled in the time that man has been able to migrate across the globe and before much of the current energy use. That suggests to me that there is something more in the nature of the earth’s system than man, and it has more of an influence than man. So I am skeptical of CO2 being the sole cause of the current temperature rise.
I also hear a lot of the concern about the global warming having to do with the destruction of the earth. That to me is an exaggeration. Almost every time I hear someone with a political point to make, they use exaggeration. Just as you have mentioned we have had greater extremes in temperature and the earth survived. I have not heard anyone claim that another planet had its climate and world destroyed by some act of its inhabitants. So people using world destruction to describe a current issue tends to undercut the credibility of their position, in my eyes.
The one point that I seldom if ever hear is consideration by the global warming theorists that blame man, is what the consequences might be if they are wrong. For me so much of life is a balance between cost benefit, I wonder when anyone feels so omnificent that they need not consider the alternative to their point of view that are they are truly thinking through their position.
I will readily admit to a short sightedness, a limited mental ability, and even a probable delusion that the earth ecosystem can and will repair itself over time. With that said, I am open to a description of how a compound that is measured in parts per million is having a greater impact on our climate than those compounds that are measured in percentage of our atmosphere.
As far as a livable world, how would you describe that, unchanged from our current conditions or simply that the earth would support a doubling or tripling of the current population, or that there are no more poor people, or that we so change society that there are no more rich people?
I think that would be a rather premature statement without understanding scale of the institutions involved or funding for that matter. Honestly speaking, The very size of the projects & funding used by the UN means very few would actually take up the challange to the UN unless perhaps it were in their own interest & they are substantially large enough to voice their oppossition. That is why generally for instance, only countries/ individual nations(something of that scale) in oppositions to UN often get attention in this regard.
Secondly, institutions generally do not just set out to get on with projects with a clear objective to challange the findings of UN projects. The very size & clear purpose of the UN institutions for which they were set up often means that many would rather rely on their conclusions than to set up specific studies into the matter. That does not however mean that scientists the world over, agree or have to agree with such findings. Neither is this an indication that scientists have not conducted peer reviewed studies/Journals/(peer reviewed papers) whose findings are not in agreement with those of the IPCC, it simply means that such findings are not always unanamousily representative of the institutions to which these scientists belong (Scince many institutions were not specifically created to address an issue such as global warming and seconly because scientists may conduct such peer reviewed studies with other peers independant of the institutions that they work for.). That said, here are but a few of the many examples of peer reviewed papers (other than all the other arguments i have already put up earlier in earlier articles/links) that are not in agreement with the IPCC findings:
http://icecap.us/images/uploads/NEW_PAPERS.doc
http://www.fraserinstitute.org/Commerce.Web/product_files/Independent%20Summary5.pdf
http://www.friendsofscience.org/assets/files/documents/Madhav%20bibliography%20LONG%20VERSION%20Feb%206-07.pdf
http://icecap.us/images/uploads/DATA_ISSUES.pdf
Some additional articles on peer review findings:
http://icecap.us/images/uploads/Recent_Coolingand_the_Serious_Data_Integrity_issue.pdf
http://ff.org/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=406&Itemid=76
http://epw.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=Minority.Blogs&ContentRecord_id=84e9e44a-802a-23ad-493a-b35d0842fed8
http://epw.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=Minority.Blogs&ContentRecord_id=175b568a-802a-23ad-4c69-9bdd978fb3cd
http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/press/proved_no_climate_crisis.html
More on the IPCC findings:
http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/other/whatiswrongwiththeipcc.html
http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/sppi_originals/peerreview.html
Also more on polar bear numbers:
http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/commentaries_essays/senate_testimony_on_polar_bear_listing.html
With more scientists begining to speaking out the world over, the number of papers(reports) such as those above are on the rise.The scale of IPCC operations are no doubt significantly larger than others, however its findings are by no means definite or conclusive, given the nature of its funding, the processes involved in conducting the study (& clear opposition to it by other scientists) and alternative findings by other scientists.
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
International Council of Academies of Engineering and Technological Sciences
European Academy of Sciences and Arts
Network of African Science Academies
National Research Coucil (US)
European Science Foundation
American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
Federation of American Scientists
World Meteorological Society
Royal Meteorological Society
Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society
Canadian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society
Canadian Foundation for Climate and Atmospheric Sciences
International Union for Quaternary Research
American Quaternary Association
Stratigraphy Commission of the geological Society of London
International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics
International Union of Geological Sciences
European Geosciences Union
Canadian Federation of Earth Sciences
Geological Society of America
American Geophysical Union
American Institute of Physics
American Physical Society
American Chemical Society
Engineers Australia
Federal Climate Change Science Program (US)
American Statistical Association
I know you want to make the case that scientific organizations, and their positions do not matter, but you cannot name one of them that disputes IPCC - hint: there are none.
I can appreciate your concern for the bears. I love animals and am also concerned when I hear that an animal is in danger. But if you are going to report information to people, you must always be sure of your facts. I too have read the same report, here is what you got wrong. 1) the bears were not 400 miles from shore, and the bears were not all together they were spotted throughout the day in different spots ranging from 15 to 60 miles from shore which if you do research is not a hard swim for a polar bear, they are created for this environment.
2) The bears were not spotted "drowning" they were reported as "swimming" in the water and no mention of struggling or being in distress.
3) you implied that their ice pack had the back luck of having their ice field melt , how could you possibly know? The report stated nothing of where they came from or why they were swimming. Why couldn't the reason be that they were just hunting for their food ? That is what they do, you know.
You also stated how they " looked around" and "saw no ice so they headed north" . boy are you taking artistic license with this one, did they call you and tell you this?
You apparently have some psychic ability to know more about the event than the people who were actually there, how is that?
Stick to the facts Jack!
there is a morsel of truth in what you say. the airplane did not hang around. I cannot prove the bears drowned, just as you cannot tell that it all worked out for the best.
However, bears do not hunt in the water. They only hunt on top of floating ice, because they eat seals, and in the water seals are faster. Bears only swim to get from one large piece of ice to another to ambush a seal coming up to breathe at a breathing hole.
Am I guilty of using Artistic license in getting into the heads of polar bears? possibly. But on the larger topic, that the ice is going away and polar bears have no prospect of survival without ice to hunt on, I am not using any license whatsoever. it is what it is.
Thanks for the special effort to get us the facts.