Nigel Hunt of Reuters reports that
Corn prices rose to record highs on Monday and looked set to climb further as torrential rains threatened to reduce further U.S. crop prospects in a market already facing tight supplies and surging demand.
Strong demand for corn from U.S. biofuel producers has contributed to supply tightness in the corn market. The U.S. Department of Agriculture has forecast about a third of this year's crop will be consumed by the biofuel sector.
"I am still very bullish. I think $7, $8, $9 corn is well within reach," said Commerzbank analyst Edward Hands.
Unfortunately, the combination of a foolish corn ethanol program with rising gas prices and rising transportation costs are all conspiring to drive up the price of food. With the additional effects of the recent heavy storms and rain in the Midwest, including flooding in some areas and frequent tornadoes, corn prices are skyrocketing. One simple action that should be taken immediately is to halt all corn ethanol subsidies and programs, so that food and fuel are no longer in competition with each other.
Original text copyrighted © 2008 James K. Bashkin
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Comments: 14
Like was said the pressure placed on corn crops for feed, food and now fuel this year with a certain shortage is going to send corn prices skyward this year.
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Is it really any better to use barley and rice to make beer?
Is it any better to use wheat to make vodka and gin?
Again, I feel your understanding of the usage of corn which some call reprehensible for a fuel product doesn't quite reach the point. It is obvious to me whoever created this driving effort to produce more corn based fuel did not even give it a cursory thought as to its overall effect on all of us or if they did they didn't care.
Michael, I don't believe I used the word reprehensible, I used the word foolish. I mean this word in the context of government tax policy. I don't blame farmers for planting something that improves their profitability through tax credits. Small farmers and family farmers are typically operating at the limits of their budgets- nobody blames them for planting what the government wants. What I blame is the politicians who propagate the untruth that corm ethanol is in any way good for the environment or the fuel probem (foreign oil problem). I have documented large numbers of ways that corn ethanol is bad for the environment and fails to help the fuel problem on my blog, Chemistry for a sustainable world.
I'm not aware of barley, rice or wheat-based alcohol being used for automobile fuel on any significant scale, but I don't know everything, so maybe I missed this.
Spencer provides a very good discussion of many of the issues.
Other issues include: (1) many farmers have quit crop rotation because they can't afford to miss a season of tax rebates from corn production. This means much more use of artificial fertilizer, more fertilizer runoff into streams, lakes and rivers (because naturally fixed nitrogen is more stable in the soil than artificial fertilizer, which is usually ammonia gas). It also means that other crops are not being planted, adding to shortages and helping to increase prices. Damage from fertilizer is already being seen as far away as the Gulf of Mexico, where algal blooms are increasing and fish are suffering (2) growing corn and then producing ethanol from it both require large amounts of fresh water. It has been predicted that dust-bowl like conditions could be achieved by overtaxing the aquifer that feeds the great plains (the same water table that dried up to cause the original dust bowl).
I'm not in any way an enemy of biotechnology, or technology, or biofuels per se. I like the idea of waste vegetable oil for biodiesel for example (it isn't in competition with fuel and there is a diesel shortage), I just feel that some applications of farm crops to fuel usage are extremely harmful to the environment and economy, especially when food is put in competition with fuel, which gives us a double problem, since fuel prices now cause an increase in food pries both directly and indirectly. This isn't merely an uninformed opinion: every article on my blog is backed up by major reports from sources that include one or more of the following: scientific journals, highly credible nongovernmental organizations, governmental labs and major economic analysts.
If you have doubts, read the Chicago news story on chicken feed and the price of eggs and the Economist article on how ethanol from corn is totally irrelevant to the fuel price crisis, but has a major effect on food prices. These are both discussed at Chemistry for a sustainable world.
Thanks again for the feedback.
Of course, that alone will not be enough. We need to also make full use of the natural oil resources we have.