The underlying assumption here is that finance companies can sell their stock of houses to whoever can afford to buy them, and that they will take the loss. But these lenders are much too smart to get left holding the bag. That is where you and I come in.

Lenders who foreclose on a property and resell it for a loss have a few tricks for avoiding and sharing the pain. The first trick is to send the dispossessed an IRS form 1099-C, Cancellation of Debt statement, a copy of which goes to the federal government.
The former homeowner is now liable to the IRS for taxes on the reported "income." For most of us, that amounts to about a third of whatever number is filled in on the form. If the lender loses $30,000, the buyer owes $10,000 to the IRS. As creditors go, the IRS is the worst. Penalties and interest on tax debt increase it very quickly, and are exempt from bankruptcy proceedings.
The lender next turns to one of the federally-chartered corporations or agencies that guarantee virtually all home mortgages, like the Federal Housing Administration (FHA), Fannie Mae, or Freddie Mac, and files the equivalent of an insurance claim. For now, lenders receive a percentage of the money they have "lost" and report the rest on their income statements as a loss. Doing so has enabled them to show investors that net profits were okay before those pesky losses. Eventually, however, Fannie and Freddie are going to be unable to pay out on these loan guarantees, and the pesky losses will grow beyond the industry's ability to absorb them. Both corporations were already showing net losses as of 2007.
Fannie Mae's corporate managers further exposed themselves to sub-prime risk when they agreed to help bail out Bear Stearns. But since salaries are a cost of doing business and come out of gross revenues, managers and CEOs will continue to make six-figure incomes while first borrowers, then the rest of us, suffer.
The burning question is "What can we do?" The Federal Reserve seems to think that loosening credit will help. Most folks would not attempt to put out a fire by pouring gasoline on it. If too-easy credit caused the problem, making borrowing even easier is unlikely to solve it.
Requiring lenders to renegotiate loans on reasonable terms is a start. Federal regulation not only of the mortgage industry, but of corporate executive compensation packages could help. Requiring a modicum of financial literacy among borrowers also seems reasonable.
If, in the words of our commander-in-chief, we choose to stay the course, the bottom will fall out in the foreseeable future, and the amount of wealth that will evaporate with it is astronomical. The mutual funds, money market funds and the stock market have absorbed the shock so far. They cannot do so indefinitely, although most Americans seem to think otherwise.
While most ordinary Americans may not own stocks per se, they usually have some kind of retirement savings program, which probably owns stocks, including mortgage funds. When the bubble bursts, those retirement funds are going to be hurt along with the banks, home buyers, mortgage brokers. The hot-shots at the top of the financial food chain, however, are going to be laughing all the way to the bank.
Remember Enron? This time, it won't be "them;" it will be us.


Comments: 45
What we did not foresee was the huge numbers of American jobs going out of the country.
Which leaders can redirect our economy? With which candidate will the Congress work cooperatively to restore our economy and stave off a depression?
Personally I find the job market and medical situation far more serious than the mortgage burst...People cannot survive with out work and medical assistance but they can with out a house mortgage....a house is a thing and can always be replaced if wanted...family, self assurance, 3 meals a day are part of survival...and this administration has put this entire country at risk...
I find it interesting on the news today that Mrs Bush is right there to help the area that was so badly damaged by the storm over the weekend..and is making the statement for them to hurry and accept our assistance....thats good and thats the way it should be...but as I remember it was several days before anyone got all shook up about water and other needs here in our own country with Katrina...and it is still in a mess..
The banks and the real estate market will always be a money making institution...and they are always prepared for the hole that comes..because you and I end up bailing them out...
An adjustment is slowly happening so as not to disrupt (too much) the inflated home values while at the same time trying to stabilize the market. Barring some other unforeseen event, I believe we will see a significant reverse trend when the Fed levels off interest rates below 5% and more likely when interest rates settle around 4.8% on home mortgages. We should see this happen toward the end of the year. This presents other short and long-term concerns, but not nearly the repercussions and ramifications of doing nothing.
Free enterprise is important as long as checks and balances are in place, are enforced, and prevail.
Shelter is a fundamental aspect of survival, even if it's just a cave.
Jan S., What makes you think the powers that be are not, indeed, striving for a depression?
Great article, by the way.
Gonna do some research.
Didn't they read their own financial statement at the end of the signing procedure to find out what the payments were? This seems elementary, and yet everyone on this thread seems to have overlooked it or ignored it.
Can I go out on a limb and guess that most here on this thread are renters?
I remember that about two years ago and before that that the mortgage companies were constantly calling about refinancing. They would tell about how the equity in my home could be turned into cash. What they didn't say was that they wanted me to give up my house and pay them an Adjustable Rate Mortgage. I knew better, but I'm afraid that many people didn't know better. I refinanced once to put on a new roof. Having worked in the field before I knew what to ask for (a fixed rate mortgage). Many people think that they have equity in their home, but in fact no one does. Something tells me that the mortgage industry is through offering decent mortgages and that is the problem. They became too greedy.
My rate cannot increase more than 2.5 % over the life of the loan. My interest started out at 6.25 %. Therefore my interest can never be more than 8.75 %.
Yes - my payments have actually came down.
People are not reading the papers they sign. Once they sign them, the lenders can defend themselves with the claim that they disclosed, regardless of how difficult to read the papers were. (Which is the purpose of fine print and writing the papers in legalese.)
The world is a very scary place right now.
I agree with Bret in that everyone involved in this: brokers, assessors, agents, home buyers, mortgage companies, government agencies, etc. share in this this one as they were all trying to get a good deal for themselves — and did for a while.
I also agree with you re: renegotiating the rates. Even if a mortgage allows for the interest rates to zoom up, if that means they will have to foreclose on the house, I think they're better off financially to not add that full extra interest burden on the homeowner.
It will certainly take an act of Congress to get the lenders to agree to that.
Everyone else is a peripheral player.
Anytime you sign your name on a legal document, it is YOU they will come after for payment. The Subprime mess may have been propelled by greedy mortgage brokers or banks, but it would have fallen flat if buyers had just said "hey, wait a minute.............are you trying to tell me that with my $40k per year job I can afford a $400k house? Ummmmm, how is that possible?"
Then of course, they need to take that deal to their tax attorney.
Don't have one? Get one!
Percentiles Ranked by AGI
AGI Threshold on Percentiles
Percentage of Federal Personal Income Tax Paid
Top 1%
$364,657
39.38
Your URL
does that look like 70%
What a goober!
It is truly shocking how much paperwork turns advantages for businesses. The average person stands no chance against the combined efforts of government and business. We live at their whim.
-- "..managers and CEOs will continue to make six-figure incomes.."
Shouldn't that be seven-figure incomes?
If you don't mind me rambling... on of the biggest problems America's economy currently faces is rooted in the way our emerging wealthy classes are limitedly focused on themselves.
They so often fail at sharing their gained wealth expansively within their local communities.
Fancy cars are mostly made overseas; so owning half a dozen of them mostly only benefits the auto dealer they were purchased from.
Fancy furniture, fancy clothes, expensive jewelry mostly comes from overseas; and mostly only benefits whatever dealers are involved.
Since medical insurances (and increasingly life insurances) are mostly obtained from one's employer, local insurance agents incomes have become restricted to the revenues of home and life policy sales.
One of the shining points of our emerging wealthy classes has been that many of them contribute generously to whatever church or synagogue they belong to.
When the bottom falls out on the sub-prime meltdown a whole bunch of Americans are going to have a very nasty, nasty fall.
While the Simon LeGreeze will be ecstatic.
This is not the American Dream that is getting lost. It's American Living.
Our under-supplying job markets are indeed a huge problem. A concert of efforts could address this problem well; such as offering free assistance in learning and getting started on making money off of the Internet.
Of course 43 will rush to aid Myanmar. There's always advantage to be made when there's catastrophe. Let's just hope he doesn't send brownies.
A house is not just a thing or a shelter. Most people like to turn houses into homes. Places where individuals or families live for long periods of time; where memories are made, attached and nurtured.
But I suspect that is not the way of it for the majority of folks anymore. Geographic turnover in our modern society keeps the majority of the population from establishing long roots.
It seems like that should be a pity.
Bret W. -- Banks and lending institutions are quite capable of convincing average folks that they CAN afford it; often by providing financial statements that prove it.
But of course these financial statements are predicated on the sunshiniest scenarios, and fall far short of taking the vagarities of real life into account. The average American does not have the knowledge base needed to recognize this.
Placing the blame squarely on the shoulders of every homebuyer caught up in this is like blaming the robbery victim for having something worth stealing.
My husband and I were one of the lucky ones in a similar mess about 25 years ago in Kansas where several companies had closed and it was a small town with high unemployment...we COULD afford our home, but job loss forced us to have to move to another state, and when we ended up selling the home for less than we had paid for it 5 years earlier and took a huge loss, I REALIZED how really unimportant it was...it was just a thing...we had our family in place and had a rented roof over our head..and I wish now we would have let it go instead of paying the monthly payment for over a year...to keep the loan company happy.......we should have just let them have it...
As far as blaming homebuyers for buying a home they could not afford....having been in real estate...trust me...they were convinced they could do it on their income and they were shown the numbers as to how they could do it...why miss a chance in a life time to get a really good buy in an investment called a house....that was going to just go up in value...well guess what...the percentages of houses today - even in Seattle are costing them MORE than they are worth...because of this housing mess...so must be fun paying for a loan of $400,000 when your home is only worth $250,000.
Yes a HOUSE is a thing and an investment...a HOME is where the heart is and can be rented a LOT cheaper than the financial mess these loan companies have allowed to happen...and they are still going to end up with a better balance financially than most of the consumers.....
"Bret W. -- Banks and lending institutions are quite capable of convincing average folks that they CAN afford it; often by providing financial statements that prove it.
But as the one paying the bill, shouldn't you use a little critical thinking and say to yourself "Hmmmmm, the banker says I can take out this $400k loan, but I only make $40k per year". Shouldn't that raise more than just a few 'red flags', Bill?
But of course these financial statements are predicated on the sunshiniest scenarios, and fall far short of taking the vagarities of real life into account. The average American does not have the knowledge base needed to recognize this.
Maybe..............but if you don't understand it, doesn't it seem logical that you'd hire a good tax attorney to review the paperwork for you? That seems kinda elementary here, Bill.
Placing the blame squarely on the shoulders of every homebuyer caught up in this is like blaming the robbery victim for having something worth stealing."
No, its more like leaving the doors of your new home wide open while you fly to Hawaii for a vacation....................then expecting to come back and have everything still in your house. Not logical, Bill.
Every new homeowner is liable for his own stuff.
Once he signs, that is a binding legal document. The lack of logic used, and the lack of critical thinking in this Sub-Prime fiasco is shocking on the part of homebuyers.
All a tax attorney is going to tell them, Bret, is that according to the paperwork the bank has supplied, the borrower should be able to manage the obligation.
Lastly, Bret, your scenario of folks leaving their doors wide open while they went off on vacation is nothing even close to reality. They welcomed certified business people into their homes, Bret, trusted what was told to them by the "licensed professionals" and are now having their entire homes taken from them; not just some of their stuff.
Bret, we live in a society where a huge amount of productivity is directed to convincing all of us that we need things. My home, pictured with this article, is not found in the pages of House Beautiful. It is basic shelter. It is decidedly not what most people seek when they go home shopping. It is valued well below the median price of homes in the United States.
I have made decisions. I refuse to kill myself to live in the Taj Mahal. I like to see my family. I would rather have time with them than have to work 80 hours a week to pay my mortgage. Most people don't feel as I do.
The median price of a house in this country is well above $100,000. People are convinced that this is what they need, along with Escalades and Humvees. So they go out on a limb, many of them thinking that as long as they can juggle, they'll live the good life, and when the piper comes calling, they'll have to give up their toys.
"Yes, Bret. If it were as plain as a banker saying that a person who makes $40k per year could afford a $400k house, some red flags would probably go up, even for the averagest of minds. But, Bret, for the sake of striking closer to the reality that most home buyers have been caught up in, it is more like a banker convincing someone who makes $20k - $35k that they can afford a $175k house.
I just bought a condo investment property in the River North area (downtown - desirable area) of Chicago that had this exact scenario happen. I didn't make it up. This is a real-life scenario. Ask Karl Leuba - I've been chatting with him about it.
The original buyer made $40k per year, and this place cost $400k. The bank convinced him he could make it work. About 9 months into his ARM, he defaulted. He couldn't make the payments. Is that just idiotic, or what?
I picked the place up for pennies on the dollar.
All a tax attorney is going to tell them, Bret, is that according to the paperwork the bank has supplied, the borrower should be able to manage the obligation.
Ummm, no Bill. Any tax attorney will be your advocate. They would never counsel anyone to make such an absurd deal. But do you think the original buyer had a good tax attorney? Of course not! That's why I have ownership of his place now.
Lastly, Bret, your scenario of folks leaving their doors wide open while they went off on vacation is nothing even close to reality.
Just another metaphor for stupidity, Bill. Similar to not understanding a new real estate contract but still signing on the dotted line anyways. Not smart.
They welcomed certified business people into their homes, Bret, trusted what was told to them by the "licensed professionals" and are now having their entire homes taken from them; not just some of their stuff."
The "certified" business who made the original loan was Citywide Mortgage, Bill. Now a defunct business.
Still, this guy should have gotten some help. He didn't............his loss.
My point is : if you don't know what you're doing, get help.
Don't trust anyone.
The vast majority of the folks caught in this Sub-Prime fiasco should never have been buyers..................they should have stayed renters. They knew they couldn't afford a house.
It's all about personal responsibility, Bill.
These folks had none, but now they're blaming the bank. How pathetic.
I don't know what the answer is or even how to begin to fix this mess.
a large percentage of those caught up are indeed less than Mensa Material.
That said, there are vast numbers of people, corporations, as well as 'advisers'
tending toward the shady side whom all help to further the devastation along.
I like to go by the old adage "you can't trick an honest man".
These folks who thought they could afford a $400k house on a $40k per year salary were not honest. They should have walked away when it started sounding too good to be true. Now, many of those folks have been relegated back to being renters again..............but now their credit is destroyed by their own greediness.