Recent months have brought a triple threat to the economy: housing market slump, a credit crunch, and oil prices pushing 100 dollars a barrel.
There's no shortage of bearish voices on the street. But Peter Schiff or Dr. Doom has made the case for economic disaster. Not everyone is convinced.
Economists and Wall Street watchers are beginning to choose sides: do economic trends spell correction or catastrophe?
Listen to an On Point debate about the worst-case scenario with Dr. Doom.
Where do you think the U.S. economy is headed? Are you feeling bearish or bullish?


Comments: 11
I tend to agree with you that changes need to be made, but I'm not sure what those could/should be. Given our lack of civil political discourse, I doubt that much meaningful change can take place.
For me, energy consumption is the core problem since it affects almost every other aspect of the economy. Improve energy efficiency and you improve the economy by multiples. However, those who advocate a market approach seem to abhor any policy that would guide consumer decisions toward conservation. Witness the refusal of the Administration to increase auto CAFE requirements.
The Federal Reserve is actually a private corporation, controlled by private banks with very little oversight from the government. It is very scary to think the the entire monetary system of the U.S. is in the hands of a few private banks. Any money the governement needs comes from the Federal Reserve which basically just prints it and loans it to the governement.
The entire U.S economy is based on this. It is a debt-based economy and the monetary masters are private banks. Any discussion about the U.S. economy needs to cover this in detail because ultimately, the entity who can print money and set interest rates can do what it wills with the economy.
I am very dissapointed that Jack Beaty could conduct an entire show on this and avoid the elephant in the room. Furthermore the guest that sounded like Ben Stein should never have been allowed on the show. Don't you do ANY screening of your guests? If you're going to have guests on who are nothing but propagandists of disinformation then why should we listen?
I do believe that if corporations aren't reined in in some way we're headed for real trouble. They are not going to show any responsibility by themselves.
Here's the FAQ "Who owns the Federal Reserve?"
http://www.federalreserve.gov/generalinfo/faq/faqfrs.htm#5
and a reasonable looking article on Wikipedia
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Federal_Reserve
Ross
At the end of the day, I lean towards Schiff's scenario of bad news. I think its a question of when rather than if. I think he is especially correct when he tells Americans to reduce consumption.
China could cause a huge crash if they started selling large amounts of their trillions of US dollars. Of course, its always pointed out that China won't do that because it would hurt themselves as much as anyone. I'm sure that's true but to my unsophisticated thinking, that seems like something being propped up artificially. In the real world, something that is propped up without a solid base tends to stay up for quite a while with everyone thinking all is fine until something snaps and it all comes crashing down.
The new construction that was so rampant has ended as well. There are hundreds of new homes that haven't been finished and improved lots just sitting there. The developers have pulled everyone off of the jobs. Here in Arizona the construction industry has laid off 19,000 workers since August.
I think the rest of the businesses that were supporting all of the construction and the real estate industry are feeling the lack of business as well. Bearish is my take on the economy. I am not going to spend a dime that I don't have to.
Remember, you heard it here first!