The US Supreme Court ruled on April 2nd that the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) must limit greenhouse gas emissions such as carbon dioxide.
Four Bills are now under discussion in the Senate that would instruct the EPA to set caps on greenhouse gas emissions and allow for trading of permits, so that those who do better than their allocated target can sell their "surplus" to those who fail to do so.
The problem with permits is that, if they are given away for free to existing polluters, that would be like rewarding them for the pollution they make. Alternatively, permits could be auctioned off, or there could be a mix. e.g. with a progressively larger proportion of permits to be auctioned off.
There remains a problem with trading in that it mainly seems to benefit polluters. Polluters who reduce their emissions will benefit, so there's a clear incentive for them to do so, but a wind farm that didn't generate greenhouse gases to start with will not get or need any permits, and it therefore wouldn't benefit from selling any "surplus" - it didn't get anything to sell, nor will it need to buy any permits. Trading in permits appears to leave the profits of such trade in the hands of a group of polluters and those feeding on them.
Instead, emissions could simply be taxed. Whether permits are auctioned or emissions are taxed, the key question is who will get the revenues. One thing that should be avoided is that such revenues will merely be used to assist the poor with paying their higher energy bills. If that would be the case, then no gain would be achieved at all. If the rich can afford to pay higher prices, and the poor get subsidies, then nothing will change in terms of pollution. Instead of taxing the rich and handing the money over to the poor, as in the old socialist motto, we should adopt a new motto, i.e. tax energy suppliers who pollute and give it to suppliers who don't. Indeed, it makes sense to reward suppliers of energy most who pollute least. A more blunt position would be that only suppliers of energy should get subsidized that do not add extra heat, i.e. those who don't add extra heat should get all the subsidies, while those who do should not be subsidized at all.
Such a combination of tax and subsidies would result in a shift away from supply of energy that contributes to global warming on the one hand to supply in energy that doesn't contribute to global warming on the other hand. Tax the first group and give the money to the second group! Because money is merely passed from one group to the other, there is no risk of a budget blow-out. The money is all accounted for, if the money that's raised is simply passed on in the form of subsidies.
Taxes could be set at rates to achieve certain aims. If taxes are too low and buying polluting energy is still relatively cheaper than non-polluting energy, then the tax rate will simply have to be raised to cause a quicker shift.
Cheers!
Sam Carana
PS: As to what constitutes "extra heat", see my earlier article:
Global Warming and the impact of Extra Heat


Comments: 68
Absolutely!
Why is it that the "right" has to resort to nonsense when they argue points? Can't you people EVER take a real stance on anything? Then again, when you allow yourselves to be deluded by fake scientists who're paid by the oil industry, and propogandists spewing utter lies 24/7, I guess you're destined to be awash in ignorance and foolishness.
Wasn't there a conference on Global Warming that was canceled due to excessive snow and ice this year?
Now let's pretend we're winning in Iraq and our president is not a fool.
I tend to call the deniers on it when they spout nonsense for a different reason- because some individual lacking in science background visiting these discussions might be naive enough to think that the deniers are telling the truth.
Regarding your line of reasoning against Mitch- the reasoning is faulty. Yeah there were few people who saw through Bush in 2002, but I was one of them. There may have been few people in 1400 who believed the world was round- but sailors mostly thought it was round because they noticed that ships disappear over the horizon hull first, then masts last. It has to do with deciding after you get some facts. The scientists have produced the facts, and you are not interested in them.
How can we know what the average climate is from only about 100 years of record keeping?
Well Chris I paid for my car why shouldn't I be able to drive?
Here's some that disagree with the party line.
http://www.ncpa.org/pub/st/st279/
Here's some of what they have to say
"Unstoppable Global Warming-Every 1500 Years" (Rowman & Littlefield,
276 pages, $24.95) assembles physical and historical evidence of the
natural climate cycle that ranges from ancient records in Rome, Egypt, and
China; to 12,000 antique paintings in museums; to Vikings' tooth enamel in
Greenland cemeteries; and to high-tech analyses of ice cores, seabed
sediments, tree rings, fossil pollen and cave stalagmites.
"The Romans wrote about growing wine grapes in Britain in the first
century," says Avery, "and then it got too cold during the Dark Ages.
Ancient tax records show the Britons grew their own wine grapes in the 11th
century, during the Medieval Warming, and then it got too cold during the
Little Ice Age. It isn't yet warm enough for wine grapes in today's
Britain. Wine grapes are among the most accurate and sensitive indicators
of temperature and they are telling us about a cycle. They also indicate
that today's warming is not unprecedented."
"We have lots of physical evidence for the 1,500-year cycle," says
Singer. "Yet we don't have physical evidence that human-emitted CO2 is
adding significantly to the natural cycle. The current warming started in
1850, too early to be blamed on industries and autos."
Singer notes that humanity learned of the 1,500-year cycle only
recently, from the first Greenland ice cores brought up in 1983. The cycle
was too long and moderate to be observed by earlier peoples without
thermometers and written records. The Greenland ice cores showed the
1,500-year cycle going back 250,000 years. It raises temperatures at the
latitude of New York and Paris by 1-2 degrees C for centuries at a time,
more at the North and South Poles, with a global average of 0.5 degrees C.
In 1987, the first Antarctic ice core showed the cycle extending back
through the last 400,000 years and four Ice Ages-and demonstrated the cycle
was indeed global.
There is also evidence of the 1,500-year cycle in seabed sediments from
six oceans, in ancient tree rings from around the Northern Hemisphere, in
glacier advances and retreats from Greenland to New Zealand, and in cave
stalagmites from every continent including South Africa. The North American
Pollen Database shows nine complete reorganizations of the continent's
trees and plants in the past 14,000 years, or one every 1,650 years.
"The deepest seabed sediment cores show the cycle has been going on for
at least a million years," says Avery.
Sunspot observations over the past 400 years, along with modern
analysis of carbon and beryllium isotopes, link the 1,500-year cycle to
variations recently detected by satellites in the sun's irradiance.
Antarctic ice studies show global temperatures tracking closely with
atmospheric CO2 levels over the past 400,000 years. However, Singer and
Avery note the studies also show that temperature changes preceded the CO2
changes by about 800 years. Thus, more warming has produced more
atmospheric CO2, rather than more CO2 producing global warming. This makes
sense, say the authors, because the oceans hold vastly more CO2 than the
air, and warming forces water to release some its gases.
Singer and Avery say that the science of the natural cycle runs counter
to what many believe and fear will happen as a result of man-made global
warming:
* Wild species won't become extinct in our warming because they've been
through at least 600 previous warmings, including the Holocene Warming
just 5,000 years ago that was much warmer than today.
* The seas won't rise to drown New York before the next cooling, because
90 percent of the world's remaining ice is in the melt-resistant
Antarctic. Even a 5 degree C warming would decrease its ice mass by only
1.5 percent, over centuries.
* Warming won't bring famine, because it brings what crops like -- longer
growing seasons, more sunlight, and few untimely frosts. More CO2 also
stimulates plants' growth, and enhances their water use efficiency.
"We hope our book will help calm the rampant hysteria about global
warming and the flawed Greenhouse models," emphasizes Avery. "We should be
using our resources and technology to find the best ways to adapt to the
inevitable but moderate warming to come, not to study one climate model
after another, scare people to death, and pass crippling 'environmental'
legislation that would deny the world the economic growth it needs to
overcome poverty, the greatest problem of all."
S. Fred Singer, an NCPA adjunct scholar, is professor emeritus of environmental science at the University of Virginia, and President of the Science and Environmental Policy Project. He was the first Director of the U.S. Weather Satellite Service, and served five years as vice chair of the National Advisory Committee on Oceans and Atmospheres. He received the first Science Medal from the British Interplanetary Society, and won a NASA commendation in 1997 for his research on particle clouds.
Dennis T. Avery is a senior fellow of the Hudson Institute. He has served as a policy analyst for the U.S. Department of Agriculture, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission and the U.S. Department of State, where he won the National Intelligence Medal of Achievement in 1983. His book, Global Food Progress, was published by Hudson in 1991. Reader's Digest excerpted his article on the Medieval Warming, "What's Wrong With Global Warming?" in October 1999.
Why weren't they invited to speak about global warming?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scientists_opposing_the_mainstream_scientific_assessment_of_global_warming
IPCC report
Scenario A1FI
Best estimate temperature rise of 4.0 °C with a likely range of 2.4 to 6.4 °C (7.2 °F with a likely range of 4.3 to 11.5 °F)
Sea level rise likely range [26 to 59 cm] (10 to 23 inches)
23 inches 2 feet over the next what 30, 50, 100, 200 years the oceans will rise. I grew up on the coast and living next to the ocean is a crap shoot.
Is the erosion that occurs along ALL coast line man made. Our land masses are always changing. We've tried to save NC's outer banks from errosion didn't work. Look at Yellowstone National Park. So how are we gonna make global changes when small local changes seem out of our grasp. Why not work on adapting to these changes as well instead of just trying to change the weather patterns. Adapting it's worked for billions of years. Sometimes when global warming is brought up it's like it's from some Sci-Fi movie and the duh duh duh "Wall of Watery Death" is headed our way. Dr. James Hansen said that there is "usefulness of extreme warming scenarios to obtain political and policy actions" sounds like exaggeration to me.
My whole point is that there are two side to this debate and politics seem to have ignored one side because they don't have a movie star promoting their side so why listen to them. They are nothing but MYOPIC crack pots. Thats BS Sam. And narrow minded. Sorry couldn't think of a .50 word for narrow minded to seem smarter:(
CO2 we have found through Ice core samples and other geological sourses follows warming trends, and also during warm periods, the ocean waters expell CO2, after absorbing it during cold periods.
Many of the scientis that worked the IPCC report walked off the scene when the IPCC misquoted and reworded their statements on their reports to make what they wanted a fact. Five of them even sued IPCC to have their names removed as IPCC kept the names to make it look like there was support from these scientis.
You cannot brak down the Global warming arguement and put it back together without modifying it to fit, while you can the opposition with no modifications needed.
Models used to show the Global Warming effects are made with the same programs used to forcast weather in local and national forcasts, and do not have the ability to handle all the data (cycles, history, Global Ocean effects, ECT.) needed to make such predictions so are faulty from the start.
I agree with a number of statements by experts that this is a political/economical stunt that is benefiting less scrupulous scientists, and governments for jobs, grants and money.
To go slightly off topic, I continue to doubt any of the so-called market-based "solutions." Legislaters continue to try to play tricks with the tax code hoping that someone will act as desired, and repeatedly the results fail to live up to the promises. Instead, why not take direct action?
If we want the most polluting plants replaced with less polluting plants, why not pay to do so? We can just allocate the funds to upgrade, repair, or replace the most polluting plants. This allows improvement to be focused where it is needed most. The one difference is that the cost will be distributed across the entire US tax base instead of just the consumers of the affected plant, but presumably the benefit will be felt by all.
If we wish to reduce CO2 emissions, then we need to admit that there will be a cost incurred. Trying to sell manipulative schemes that would do it for "free" is merely a chance for politicians to claim they have done something without requiring actual results.
Dennis T. Avery, is a partisan member of the Republican party with ties going back to the Reagan administration. He is the source of the lie about organic foods being more dangerous to eat than pesticide sprayed ones, which hs totally been disproven, he is a constant big business friend and works for councils that list oil companies as major contributors.
Because they are bought and payed for by Oil and Gas companies, why would they be invited to speak?
And the world is not ending tomorrow. Waves of water are not going to come rushing to shore wiping out New York. People are not going to burst into flames because of the increased heat. The world is not ending tomorrow. Yes we can change the way we do things but quit standing on the street corner waving your signs trying to scare people. Change happens without scare tactics.
I've showed a list of people who disagree with the way global warming is presented. Can anyone show me the list of 2500+ scientist that are on board with the current thinking. Haven't seen that list yet. Some of the scientist on that list threatened legal action because their names were included. Why would they do that. Why would they be added without their consent?
Dr. James Hansen said that there is "usefulness of extreme warming scenarios to obtain political and policy actions". Why use extreme warming scenarios if the science is so rock solid let it speak for itself without sensationalist PR spin. Supporting Global Warming has become a political "brownie" point toward getting elected.
Sorry for being simple minded folks. I just have to question things. I mean first my eggs were good for me. Then they were bad for me. And now they are good for me again. I just can't figure it all out. Don't worry I'll see the light soon. Enjoy your higher priced Easter Eggs everyone and have a happy Easter. The myopic freak hypocrite liar moron. Enjoy
Here's another suggestion that would be even more amusing. If you have ever bought gasoline at a Sam's Club station, you know that if you insert a member card, you are treated to a discounted price. I think every vehicle registration should come in the form of a plastic card that must be inserted at the pump. The price per gallon should be based on the fuel efficiency of the vehicle (gas guzzlers pay more).
Rich I don't know if I'm flattered or alarmed by your intimate attention. Beware of your oral fetish: it would not take much to for some RNC pansy to suck your brains out and what would we do without your fair, balanced and enlighted commentary.
I wasn't aware anyone bought and paid for Al Gore. He has been, if nothing else worthwhile, an environmental activist for as long as most can remember, and the very scientist you quote, out of context, Dr. James Hansen, happens to work for NASA, and is one of the scientists that blew the lid off of the Bush administration's censoring of global warming proponents. My guess is he gets paid the same whatever he supports, but I'm open to any other info.
I hope to get some feedback on that!
Cheers! Sam Carana
Just like the US agreed on Federal Government with the precaution of appending a Bill of Rights to the Constitution, limits should be set to whatever global authority will come out of this.
Instead of calling for a World Government to dictate every aspect of our lives, any such World Treaty should work on the basis of respect for direct choice and ideological neutrality, as fundamental starting points. Such a Treaty should recommend taxes and subsidies in such ways that people have as much direct choice as possible in how the details work out for them individually. A Global Treaty on global warming should stick to global warming. It should not be allowed to be used by socialists, capitalists, religious fundamentalists or whatever groups to advance their particular ideology and impose it on society at large.
It makes sense to tax those who sell polluting energy and to give that money to those who sell energy that - as you say - doesn't add extra heat, as long as we can agree what is extra heat. Similarly, it makes sense to tax meat for its methane and use the money to support more responsible lifestyles, as long as we can agree what is most responsible.
Perhaps scientists should do less analysis of the dangers and instead focus more on the solutions. I'll leave that up to the scientists, but I do repeat that when joining negotiations on a world treaty, we should table the principles of direct choice and ideological neutrality.
A tax should be used to avoid something that is bad and the revenue should be used to improve the situation. We shouldn't tax companies simply because they were profitable. Making profits shouldn't be a sin and people shouldn't be encouraged to stay poor in the hope to receive government funding. We need a political system that encourages improvements.
If we can globally agree on what is good or bad, then it's possible to have global treaties on that basis. Pollution is bad and if someone can find ways of supplying energy without adding extra heat, then it's worthwhile supporting them.
Similarly, I suggest that it's worthwhile to support competition and diversity worldwide. Monopolies should be taxed, with the proceeds going to solutions that create more competition and diversity. However, this is best dealt with in a separate treaty. Direct choice is by implication respected, if not actively supported.
In both cases, such treaties observe the principle of political neutrality by focusing on a single issue and by combining taxes with subsidies, in such a way that bad practices on the issue are taxed and the revenue goes to initiatives that improve the situation. Any international treaty should improve a single issue, rather than serve specific ideological goals. Instead of having a UN with a standing army and an internatuional court, we should have separate treaties on specific issues. Only by negotiating such issues in separate treaties can we keep them separate. That is our best chance of avoiding dictatorial world government.
Finally, I want to leave the door open for seeking bi-lateral agreements with other countries, in case there's little or no progress with a global treaty on an issue. The US has reached regional and bi-literal agreements with many other countries on the topic of trade. In the face of failure of countries to reach a global agreement on trade, such regional and bi-lateral trade agreements have been very successful and are still setting the agenda for a future global trade agreement. It's a second-best alternative, but it could become the only alternative if we fail to reach global agreement on reducing emissions. We should start thinking ahead, in terms of taxes on or boycots of products from countries that refuse to lower emissions. In that case, we need to take another look at all our trade agreements.
My guess is because the oil industry doesn't have science on its side, so it's forced to pay fake scientists for fake reports. After all, they do stand to lose just a teensy bit when we shift to alternative sources of energy. And, if you actually believe that we'd still be even debating this, had they figured out a way to profit from wind and sunlight, you're sorely mistaken.
"In this global warming "equation" the first thing to rule out would be human factors because we have evidence of this action occurring without humans. "
How so? CO2 levels have risen steadily since the industrial revolution, and have now reached a point where the rise is staggering. See, this is what I mean about the stance of the "right" on this issue. You simply have no rational, realistic logic, because your argument is not based upon science, but rather on ideology. Again, when you have to rely upon mythical fantasies and paid, fake "journalist" to convey your story, something is terribly wrong with your line of thinking.
I would strongly suggest your rent a copy of Gore's movie and watch it. You will understand much more about this subject, and will be able to discuss things from an informed stance, rather than by being forced to rely upon ideological talking points. The science is in, and it's irrefutable by all except the industry with no future, and those who're bent ideologically to cheer for them until their dying day.
As I've said over and over again, let's assume that global warming isn't real, for the sake of furthering this argument, in order to show the irrationality of your position. Can we find agreement in that oil is a finite resource that will eventually become scarce? Can we also agree that, as a modern, industrialized society, we absolutely depend upon reliable, affordable, reasonably safe energy?
Given these points of agreement, assuming that we can reach them, how does it make any sense whatsoever to stand in the way of progress, merely because of a desire to cling to an ideological viewpoint? Forget the science. Forget that the oil industry is paying for propoganda, and is flat out lying to us all. Only consider, for a moment, the FACT that oil is a finite resource that we WILL have to replace one day.
How does it make any sense at all to wait until we are suddenly forced to make appropriate changes, rather than to begin to make those changes now?
Follow the money on this one. I guarantee you that it's no mistake at all that the oil industry has become the most profitable industry in history of the corporate world. They know damn well that their days are numbered, and they're doing everything they can, including illegal war, to secure their financial future, post oil days. The moment they figure out a way to charge for sunshine and wind, oil is out the door.
Impressive way to sway opinions...insult someone that you disagree with. Brilliant plan. Perfect.
"The validity of that movie is at the core of this debate. Its like me saying to you "believe everything I say without question, and THEN we can discuss the topic reasonably.""
The validity of the movie, which is based entirely upon very in-depth, broad, long-standing scientific research, is being questioned by the oil industry, genius. What validity does the oil industry have in attacking thousands of independent scientists from around the world?
"Watch Michael Moore's movie and THEN we can discuss 9-11 reasonably."
Moore made some excellent points in that movie that have yet to be examined. Care to delve into a discussion on Bush crime family member's close personal ties to Saudi royals, some of whom CONTINUE to fund terrorists? No, I didn't think you would.
And, it's hardly a comparison at all, which doesn't surprise me, since you people seem to lack the ability to engage actual thought on this subject. Gore's movie was based upon pure, highly documented science. Moore's was based upon political opinion and known historical facts. The comparison is as valid as saying that a report on alzeimer's that's published by Johns Hopkins is invalid and unworthy of consideration because a particular biography of JFK was written by a partisan.
"Id just like to see someone explain away all of the proven climate changes and various ic-ages and re-heating etc that has gone on for billions of years without humans."
Gee....maybe that's why some people recommend watching Gore's movie, do ya think? You don't want to see any proof, which is why you refuse to watch it. You want to continue to bury your head in the sand and swallow the disproven nonsense spewed out by the oil industry, rather than accept documented proof.
"I mean, isnt it POSSIBLE that what has been happening for billions of years, relentlessly, is happening now?"
Current levels of CO2 are at historic levels, which you would know, if you'd had the testicular fortitude to watch Gore's movie. No, it's not possible that what is happening now has been happening for billions of years. The dramatic increase in CO2 levels is directly tied to our increasing use of fossil fuels. The evidence is crystal clear, and is impossible to deny. But, you just go ahead and keep swallowing the tripe spewed out by the oil industry. It seems to be working real well for you.
Now, tell me again how stupid I am, because I prefer to rely upon documented science, rather than fake reports, paid for by the very industry that is threatened by the science.