Listening to the almost daily news coming from the Pentagon and the White House over Iran's supposed help to Iraqi insurgents and sectarian militias has a familiar ring to it. One piece of "evidence" after another seems to come to light every few days that is more damning.
Beneath these high profile reports of Iranian advisors, Iranian munitions and arms, Iranian interference, and even some hints of Iranian-led attacks on our soldiers is a feeling a deja vue. While there are quite a few small reports saying that there is truly no real evidence for most of these reports, these seem to slide quietly beneath the waves of the press coverage and disappear.
Does anyone else but me have a been-there, done-that feeling about all of this? Isn't it the slightest bit familiar to you? I see only two possible explanations for this. The first is my cynicsm talking. It says that the Bush administration is manufacturing these reports as an excuse to invade Iran exactly as they did running up to the invasion of Iraq. The more rational side of me says that they cannot actually expect to pull the same sad sorry stunt twice in a row, but the other side argues back that if you look at the course of the Iraqi war a decent argument can be made for the claim that Mr. Bush doesn't learn from his mistakes.
The other possible explanation is that it's all true. If that's the case, then Mr. Bush may be in deep doo doo at this point since most people are not going to believe his cries of "wolf" a second time, particularly those in congress who will be facing reelection in a bit under two years. The cynic in me (yeah she's always there) says that perhaps all of this stuff is being manufactured in Iran trying to get Mr. Bush to attempt an invasion. Nothing pulls a country together more than a common enemy. The Iranian government is on shaky ground in a lot of ways because religious leaders in general make extremely poor rulers when it comes to matters of economy, infrastructure, and other such things, and whether Mr. Bush accepts it or not the Mullah's run the country, not their nutcake President.
So I sit here with the drums of war echoing once again inside my head and I sincerely wonder what Mr. Bush is up to this time, and whether he would indeed be so incredibly stupid as to think he could invade Iran without the rest of the region going up in flames.