Well, as crazy as it might seem at first blush, planners at the 5 sided wind tunnel (the pentagon) have been planning for an invasion of Iran/reduction of it's capacity to enrich uranium for purposes of building a nuclear device.
At present, they do not seem to be planning for boots on the ground. Some generals say that the worst case scenario should be planned for. A nuclear capable Iran is a pretty bad thing to consider.
The time magazine article was interesting to read. Oil may not be used as a weapon by the leadership of Iran. It's possible that the transit of oil will continue as expected, but it's also possible that Iran could try to close the straights of Hormuz. Iran could try striking multiple nearby interests.
Asymetric warfare could be likely, but what should be the posture in preparing for a possible nuclear equipped Iran?
Would China grow uncomfortable with the possibility that the price of a barell of oil could go out of control?
Cover Package: What War With Iran Would Look Like (And How To Avoid It)
- Cover Story: What War With Iran Would Look Like A conflict is no longer quite so unthinkable. Here?s how the U.S. would fight such a war?and the huge price it would have to pay to win it


Comments: 36
Great, I just heard that a cleric in Iran is linking the Pope's intentions to President Bush's intentions to restart the Crusades.
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Absolutely right. And that's how George W. Bush is viewed in the Muslim world. The best we can probably hope for is to contain both Iran and Bush until new US leadership can reinstitute the practice of effective diplomacy.
Of course, planners are usually planning. Hopefully, these military plans won't play out.
Some people say that the religious leaders in Iran are opposed by most of the population, yet similar thoughts were at work with Iraq.
That's a little bit scarey. Maybe Bush will feel the need to act before they have enough U235, or else, we learn to accept a nuke yeilding Iran, and then possibly a nuke yeilding Egypt, and others who will feel threatend.
I think the size of the services are still mandated by congress. Congress is responsible for authorizing the expansion of the size of the armed forces.
Not one other nation on earth agrees.
The best path to peace = IMPEACH BUSH!
This is bigger than we think.
Emmet, I'm with you!
Well put, Tony.
They like everyone else want to insure compliance with IAEA strictures. But neither has asserted that the IAEA's assessment is incorrect and that Iran is on the verge of a nuclear threat capability or is in imminent danger of making such threats. Such paranoia is restricted to Bush, his delusional supporters here in the USA, and Israel.
France and Germany want tact and diplomacy to work out resolutions for all conflicts. If Bush and his delusional supporters would subscribe to such wisdom we would not have the mess the warmongers created in Iraq.
France Wants Further Ties With Iran
| 2006-09-18
France Calls for Boosting of Ties with Iran
TEHRAN (Fars News Agency)- Despite the United States' frequent calls on the EU to increase pressures on Iran and limit ties with the Islamic Republic, Paris has called for the enhancement of all-out relations with Tehran and this has been the underlying cause for the recent visit to France by President's senior advisor, Iranian government spokesman said.
"French officials submitted a message to us which both showed their profound enthusiasm for developing all-out ties with Iran and asked for the dispatch of a special envoy to Paris to discuss the two sides' wide potentials for further cooperation in all various areas," Gholam Hossein Elham told reporters during his weekly press briefing here on Monday.
"Thus, President Ahmadinejad dispatched his senior advisor Hashemi Samareh to France," he continued, saying that during his talks with various French officials, including President Jacque Chirac, Samareh has exchanged views about enhancement of cooperation through optimum utilization of the two states' potentials.
Elham further described Samareh's negotiations with the French officials as positive and useful, asserting that the talks have paved a proper and convenient ground for the development of ties.
Elsewhere, he referred to Iran's nuclear issue and mentioned, "What we have presented as our response to the EU's package of proposals included this very main point that the two sides can resolve the issue through reasonable negotiations and in compliance with the international rules and laws."
The Spokesman viewed Iran-West talks as positive, saying that Tehran perceives a desirable prospect for the present trend of negotiations as there resides no restriction in the way of talks.
Describing time-bound suspension as a misunderstanding, he stressed once more that nuclear talks must be free from prerequisite.
Elham rejected reports that Iran could agree to the short-term suspension of its enrichment activities for the resumption of nuclear talks with the west, reiterating that such a notion was a result of a "misunderstanding."
He said, "Iran has made no decision whatsoever to suspend enrichment," but meantime stressed that all issues pertinent to Iran's nuclear case "can be raised in the negotiations."
Asked about the possibility of a meeting between the Iranian and American Presidents during the upcoming UN General Assembly meeting at the United Nations headquarters in New York, the Government Spokesman reminded, "The issue at work is not negotiation or talks, rather there could be a debate between President Ahmadinejad and his American counterpart George W Bush, and when it comes to debating, where else could be a better place than the United Nations?"
In response to the recent insulting statements by Pope Benedict XVI against the religion of Islam, he reminded the rich and historical culture of Islam, and stressed that the remarks by the leader of the world's Catholic church result from ignorance and lack of comprehension and proper understanding of the Islamic culture.
Meantime, the official viewed Pope's remarks as worrisome, and reminded that international movement of Zionism, supported by the US, intends to undermine solidarity of religions through sowing seeds of discord among them.
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Yeah, that's logical. The Pope says something that Muslims take offense to, and they start blaming Jews for instigating it. You want to NEGOTIATE with these idiots?
As for France, they've stuck their heads in the sand so many times in the last hundred years that it is a wonder ANYONE pays attention to what they think or do. Germany and even Russia are very nervous about Iran getting the bomb, and Italy should be too given the threats comming from Muslim extremists against the Pope and Rome.
At the end of the day though, the real question is not if WE think that Iran is close to getting a bomb, but what ISRAEL thinks. Israel warned the west that Iraq did not have WMD's and they were right. They have also warned the west that Iran is getting close, and I'm inclined to believe them. If they are convinced that Iran is nearing a first strike capability, you can bet that they will launch a pre-emptive strike. That has some VERY nasty implications regarding who else could get dragged into it and what the consequence to the world oil supply might be.
Diplomacy must go forward as the French have suggested, but diplomacy is certain to fail if is not backed by the potential to use force and the clear intent to use it if necessary.
I heard the interview this morning with Louay Safi, Director of the Islamic Society of North America. The interviewer was asking about the response to the Pope's quotation from a 14th century leader in the form of rioting, firebombing of churches and the murder in South Africa by shooting in the back of a nun kneeling to pray. Safi characterized all this as the Islamic world "expressing dismay" at the Pope's words.
Expressing dismay. Gee, the next time I decide to murder or rape someone, do you think maybe I could characterize it as expressing my dismay? I guess that would make it all OK, huh?
The issue is the link which proves that France is not on the side of Bush in the fabricated conflict with Iran. As you can readily see, France does NOT side with Bush but wants to use tact and diplomacy to iron out any differences.
Bush's radicalism has been a proven failure from day one (except for the corporate welfare recipients that he has enriched). The European model for dialogue and tact is ideal and will prevent war. Of course, if you are profiting from conflict then I can understand your eagerness for more war. Unpatriotic people put $$$ before the good of their country. And that's to your shame.
However I prefer to think how much better John McCain would have done who would have won the primary had the Bush Camp not strategically spread lies about him that leaked into the papers alleging that he had illegitemately fathered some african-american children. He would have beaten Gore legitemately. He wouldn't have gone into Iraq with the same strategy as the Bush Administration. As a matter of fact, they practically had to squeeze it out of him (McCain knowing the political ramifications) but he referred to the $10 Billion Iraq budget (which we all know was grossly under-budgeted) as irresponsible considering the tax breaks the Bush Administration gave to the rich. He tried not to say it but his integrity forced him to come clean about what he really thought about it. McCain knows a thing or two about war and strategy you see. I saw the Bush lies from the beginning and his true intentions were thinly veiled, just read about "The Project for A New American Century" put forth by key members of the Bush Administration. It outlines the Neocon Agenda before 9/11 and you can see how it has and is being implemented since it saying that it would require a "New Pearl Harbor" for the agenda to be implemented swiftly. They got what they needed and they told us before it happenned. Saddam's true crime: the ability to use what Wolfowitz calls "the oil weapon."
The fact is Fletcher, anyone whose agenda was the best interests of the American People and didn't have an imperialist agenda would have done so much better.
No one knows whether others would have done better, and I'm not saying they would have. I do know no one could have done worse, if they tried, and we need a different direction bad. My point is one I would make with any president, though, not just Bush. No good seems to ever come to our country when both houses and the president are all from one party.
Luckky, you're right about France, but I would never have accused France of siding with the US on anything. I believe they're best at surrender. I disagree, however, with your characterization of the European model of dialogue and tact. Who here believes that for the past forty years we have neglected to use these tools. You can't say in one breath that this is a problem that has developed over time, and in the next breath that it is all Bush's fault. That does not compute.
Save a little for me....
Glen, you say they wouldn't have waged war with Iraq alone. First, "they" (nearly) all voted the same way back when the intelligence available to the world intelligence community indicated that was the appropriate course of action. Now whether someone else might have handled things better I won't argue with you. (Sometimes I think even I could have done a better job.) But I believe that in the beginning, "they" all would have done the same.
And Ron, unfortunately, we are in agreement. And I'm almost inclined to go you one better: No good seems to come to our country when career politicians and lobbyists are in control, regardless of party.
What dialogue and tact was used when Reagan gave armaments to General Rios Montt to decimate 100000 Ixil Indians in Guatemala in a racist campaign which paralleled Hitler's decimation of Hungarian Jews?
What dialogue and tact was used when Rumsfeld supplied Saddam with WMD to kill Kurds and Iranis?
What dialogue and tact was used when Bush made up the story of Saddam as being an imminent threat of danger to the world and known universe???
Yes, I've seen some measure of dialogue and tact when Jimmy Carter negotiated a peace deal with President Sadat and Israeli dictator Begin. Another example is the 1994 accords designed by President Clinton that averted war in the Korean peninsula. There have been others and, when done, led to an immense increase in the USA's estimation world wide.
But today??? There's a word for the criminal campaign that your hero Bush has undertaken in Iraq and threathens in Iran = TREASON!