The word 'numbers' is an interesting word. Especially for people who don't like to deal with them. Numbers can live up to the meaning of the root word, and be numbing. I like numbers. Let's see if I can make numbers interesting to those of you who are 'numerically challenged.'
Let's start with the age of the earth: Four or five billion years, according to geologists. Christian believers would say around six thousand years. That difference of opinion is a factor of almost a million! Astronomers look out through their telescopes at distant galaxies, and deduce that those galaxies are five billion light years away. Think about that. The photons of light that they see through the telescope started traveling toward the earth about the time that the earth was condensing from the disk of dust and gas circling the young, yellow dwarf star we call the sun. Unless you believe that God created all of this six thousand years ago, and then gave us the intelligence to build telescopes and deduce the distance to those galaxies, just to deceive us.
How far is a light year? Light travels 186,000 miles per second. That's about six trillion miles in a year. In five billion years, the light from those distant galaxies has traveled 30 trillion billion miles! That's a three followed by 22 zeroes! The Cosmos is a pretty big place…unless you are a member of the International Flat Earth Society. They believe that the "dome of heaven" and all the stars and planets are only about four thousand miles away. They also believe that the Apollo moon missions were a massive hoax engineered by NASA, and that the Space Shuttle has never orbited the earth. You can't orbit a flat earth, they say.
Astronomers say that our sun resides in the Milky Way, a spiral galaxy. Spiral galaxies are disk-shaped, with a dense center nucleus of stars, dust and gas clouds, surrounded by spiral "arms" of similar, but less-dense material. Our galaxy contains about two hundred billion stars, and is about 100,000 light years in diameter and 1000 light years thick. The closest star, Proxima Centauri, is about four light years from our sun. Some day, we might figure out a way to travel to Proxima Centauri. The round trip would take at least eight years, though. According to Einstein's Special Theory of Relativity, nothing can travel faster than light. So, exploration of more distant stars in our galaxy will never be possible, given the short human lifespan. Think of all those other galaxies full of quintillions of stars out there that we can never know about. Recent findings indicate that many of them have planets. Some of those planets may have life. Think how insignificant we are, circling our very ordinary little middle-aged yellow dwarf star, in an outer spiral arm of a relatively large, but otherwise unexceptional galaxy...just one of the many galaxies in the Local Group, a small cluster of galaxies that is part of the Local Supercluster. It, in turn may be part of a larger-scale structure like the Great Wall, a filament-like sheet of superclusters that is 500 million light years long, 200 million wide, but "only" 15 million thick. The word "vast" is vastly overworked in trying to describe the scale of these things. It's hard to view myself, here on earth as having any special importance in the grand scheme of this magnificent, mysterious, unknowable Cosmos.
Now, let's go from the incredibly large to the incredibly small. How many cells does the human body contain? Opinions on this differ, but the consensus is somewhere between ten trillion and a hundred trillion. That's a 1 followed by 13 or 14 zeroes. Consider that number in relation to the stem cell controversy. The blastocysts that scientists grow to harvest stem cells contain 100 to 150 cells…about one trillionth the size of a human body. Does a blastocyst grown in a petrie dish have a soul? Some Christians think so.
Cells are made up of molecules, which are made up of atoms. Atoms contain protons, neutrons and electrons, but each of these can be further broken down into leptons, quarks and bosons. Physicists keep finding more and smaller bits that everything is made of. How big is a molecule? A chemist in the nineteenth century came up with a number. His name was Amadeo Avogadro, and this number has his name on it: Avogadro's Number. It's 6.022 times ten to the twenty-third power. Or 6022 followed by 20 zeroes. Eighteen grams of water, about half an ounce, contain that number of water molecules. Molecules are pretty small.
Year World Population Estimate (millions)
1000 300
1300 400
1500 500
1700 650
1800 1000
1900 1600
1950 2500
2000 6100
What is clear from the above is that something happened in the 20th century that caused the human population to explode. Up until then, growth had been steady, but more-or-less linear. What happened was that the industrial revolution, and in particular the mechanization of agriculture and commercial fishing made it possible to produce a lot more food. Also, improvements in medical science stretched life expectancies and reduced infant mortality rates.
Many scientists feel that the current population is far above a sustainable level, and that we are currently in an "overshoot" period. The return to a long-term sustainable level may not be pleasant, resulting in the deaths of billions of people through famines, epidemics, plagues, natural disasters...and, of course, wars.
I'll quit on that cheery note, hoping that you are no longer numbed by numbers.


Comments: 53
I love numbers, and am constantly astounded by how they both comprise us and subsume us at the same time.
Nice work!
1900 1600
1900 2500
2000 6100
There appears to be an error in your chart, you may want to correct that.
I had a devil of a time with the Gather Editor on that table. I uploaded it from an MS Word document, and it kept trashing it. I finally got it right...almost. Thanks for catching that.
I always had trouble with Einstein's idea of the "space-time continuum" until I thought about this: Suppose you were able to travel faster than the speed of light, and you went out to one of those distant galaxies. As you approach it, you are "reeling in" the photons, and seeing things there in accelerated time, because when you get there, you are seeing light that "just" left that galaxy, so it's 4 billion years more recent than the light you were seeing from earth. Likewise, when you return to earth, if you look in the rear view mirror, you will go "back" in time as you look at older and older photons. It's one of the logical contradictions you have to confront if you contemplate traveling faster than the speed of light. What is "reality" when you are looking at a stream of light that is 4 billion light years in length?
As WM H says, it's hard to know where you are and when, regardless of your perspective.
Oh, shoot, I keep getting this picture of
early Christianity as this sort of
confidence scheme, either bursting
on to the scene with the advent of
inter village travel or after some natural
or man made clean slate calamity.
I'm picturing early Christians competing
for attention with other charlatans of
various sorts, and ultimately winning
either by force of persuasion or by the
fact of killing off the competition, literally.
Hey, we talk about the Koran; shoot, I
read recently somewhere that early
Catholics were expected to kill a quota.
I'm not kidding. I forgot to save the source,
but I could probably find it again. Something
about heretics...whoa...duck.
The problem is not html, according to Gather management. It's the control characters that MS Word uses. Every version of Word has slightly different control characters, and they simply can't deal with all the versions. (shrug)
Since my background is engineering and computer programming, I guess it's natural that I would be a number-monger.
Numbers for sale! Special today! Get 'em while they last!
the Spanish Inquisition, history's example
of what happens when church and state
become one.
The French, the Germans, the English,
and the Belgians have had religious wars.
I can't picture the Catholics getting away
with it today -- too much resistance from
the people. Fundamentalist Christians,
though, that could be another story.
Fancy meeting you here. Welcome to Gather. Which cheery relatives were you referring to? Not me, certainly. To the rest of you...Marcia happens to be my sister.
I really enjoyed Kim Stanley Robinson's Mars books. He also wrote an interesting book called "Antarctica" and a completely inscrutable one called, "The Years of Rice and Salt" or something like that. Deals with reincarnation but it totally confused me. I don't think I finished it.
1+1 = 2 However from another perspective 1+1 = 11. And from another perspective {Hegelian dialectic} 1+1 = 3.
Well, as a programmer, I always thought 1 + 1 = 10.
And of course 7 + 8 = F.
With no cars or activity on the road to keep my gaze 'close', I noticed how long a road it was, and how small I was by comparison. That got me thinking about the entire town... and how small I was relative to that. And so on, up through the county, the state, the nation, planet, solar system, galaxy, etc...
It was an incredibly sobering, humbling and exhilarating experience.
In the grand scheme of things we are SO incredibly insignificant; a speck of human dust on a speck of planetary dust on a speck of galactic dust in an infinitely vast universe! Yet each and every one of us has the potential for action that will send shock waves out who-knows-how-far.
I have little doubt that something I do, at some point in my life, will some day (perhaps, millions of years in the future, but some day) have universal implications...
...and I think that's pretty cool.
That's right, John, and in fact the expansion may be accelerating if the "inflation" theory is correct.
Bert, I don't think our perspectives should be considered all that different. In the grand scheme of things, you may be only a billionth of a nonosecond closer to that 'grand finale' than I, or actually farther from it, for that matter... One never knows how the cards are gonna fall.
I don't necessarily believe that anything that I, personally, do will resonate universally. Maybe, but maybe, and most likely, not. More likely is that some far-distant relative, who never would have existed if I hadn't'a done it first, will do that something grand!
It's exciting to ponder, either way.
I still hope to see him achieve the fame that he deserves. (No parental pride there, of course!)
Thanks...I don't know him...but I'll sure check it out.
"Reeling in the photons" That's a great perspective. I have read "A Brief History of Time" but I couldn't get around the space time thing either. Your concept cleared it up for me. Now, how about that business of the mass of an object increasing as it approaches the speed of light?
Yup, Gary, that's in Einstein's Special TOR.
Did you know about length contraction and time dilation due to relativistic effects?
Here is a web site that has a very interesting discussion of this.
One ancient theory says the earth is placed firmly on the back of a giant elephant. The giant elephant is supported on the back of a super giant turtle. Asking what is supporting the turtle is as silly a question as asking what lies beyond the Great Wall of Superclusters.
Numbers do have a way of catching up with us. I have spent most of my life in the graphic arts and avoided mathematics and algebra whenever possible, only to have it all show up right in my face in recent years. Now algorithms, vectors, fractals, and chaos theory are as vital as my daily bread.
Is the Earth really only 5 billion years old? She looks younger. There must have been a few face lifts.
Yeah, her "children" have been misbehaving for a long time, Carl. It's enough to give anyone a few wrinkles.
I have always been fascinated with fractals...read Benoit Mandelbrot's book many years ago. Chaos theory is also interesting.
So many numbers, so little time...
"The return to a long-term sustainable level may not be pleasant, resulting in the deaths of billions of people through famines, epidemics, plagues, natural disasters...and, of course, wars."
I would argue against this conclusion by pointing out two facts:
1. The Rapture will happen before any of those terrible catastrophes; and
2. If those things do happen before the Rapture, then its gods punishment for the secular humanists, gays, pagans, liberals, abortionists, and the united nations.
And damn those United Nations pagans to Hell! It's time that the U S of A SECEDED from the UN...oh, and Texas should secede from the US!
Hallelujah!
Leah,
I never saw it, but a friend told me that I might be sued for the name to my article. But hey, they don't spell it the same.
Yeah, that's what somebody told me about the show. I think I would enjoy it...if I watched television.
John, it is NOT a '57 Chevy. It is a '55 Chevy. Please, purify your mind.
http://www.powersof10.com/
Highly recommended.
Actually, also for those feeling math challenged, Iread an interesting article about how math is taught in kindergarden, actually it was in the book "Everything & More, a compact history of infinite" -- anyway, just about the hardest concept in math is the ability to divorce numbers as abstract concepts from numbers as merely representing physical objects -- like 3 apples, as opposed to 3 as an abtraction. Once you get that - the rest is just following highly structured rules within formal systems. :-)
Mended...I think the main reason most people seem to seek religion is that "great unknown". It is scary to realize how tiny and insignificant we are. I am not afraid of that...just frustrated because I want to KNOW...and I know that I never will.
Zenith...glad you enjoyed it. Hmmm. You have given me an idea. I may write another piece on this subject. Stay tuned.
Jan...I love that watermelon analogy! What a wonderful way to describe the size of a molecule! Thanks.
That is what happened in 1100 and 1400 with the Black Plague...one of the reasons that the world population did not increase faster in earlier times. I have read that many common disease bugs are evolving new strains that are immune to our latest drugs. As the population grows, and our mobility grows, new diseases will spread like wildfire, and maybe that is how the population will revert to sustainable levels.
It won't be pretty.
Not a bad idea. I'll think about it.