America and most of the world seem to be held hostage by middle eastern oil kingdoms in collusion with big oil companies. Pollution from petroleum based fuels is ruining our environment and contributing to the global warming that may destroy humanity. Finding a way to kick our oil dependency is crucial to reducing the influence that these unsavory nations and their petroleum have over our future.
Many people believe that the US could become self sufficient in auto fuel by converting our cars to burn ethanol. Some even suspect that a conspiracy between oil companies has suppressed the development of ethanol as fuel. But, while ethanol has the potential to supplement gasoline, it can never supplant it primarily due to the enormous magnitude of the gasoline usage in the USA.
Let's look at some figures. Brazil has received favorable attention recently because it produces enough ethanol to provide 40% of its gasoline requirement, making it self sufficient. Note that even here ethanol has not completely supplanted gasoline, which still accounts for 60% of the auto fuel requirement.
Before concluding that the US could reach the same level of ethanol usage, let's compare the two nations' demands. Brazil's auto usage is 10 billion (with a "B" – 10,000,000,000) gallons per year, which sounds like a lot until you consider that gasoline use in the US is 170 billion gallons per year. How much sugar cane would be required to produce the USA's auto fuel demand with ethanol, and how much land would have to be devoted to growing it?
According to Lester R. Brown in, Plan B 2.0: Rescuing a Planet Under Stress and a Civilization in Trouble there are two crucial measures of biofuel production, fuel yield per acre and net energy yield (the energy produced above that required to produce it).
First we have to understand that different fuels contain different amounts of combustion energy. That's no conspiracy, just the facts of chemistry and thermodynamics. Unfortunately ethanol provides significantly less energy than gasoline, meaning that it takes more gallons of ethanol than gallons of gasoline to propel a car 100 miles. This makes it hard to evaluate statistical claims. For example, how do we know whether any particular report includes this energy penalty that ethanol has compared to gasoline?
Assuming for argument's sake that ethanol gives 85% of the combustion energy of gasoline, then we need 1,200 gallons of ethanol for every 1,000 gallons of gasoline, meaning we need 200 billion gallons of ethanol per year to supplant gasoline in America.
According to Brown, Brazil tops the world's efficiency in turning sugar cane to ethanol, producing 662 gallons from each acre under cultivation and providing an 8 to one return on the energy investment. In other words, Brazil gets 8 units of ethanol energy for each unit of energy required to produce it. American ethanol from corn produces 354 gallons per acre and returns only 1.5 units of energy for each unit required to produce it.
Because a unit of energy is required for each 8 units of energy returned, the ethanol required becomes 225 billion gallons. At Brazil's rate of production, the USA would need over 340 million acres devoted to growing sugar cane to produce 225 billion gallons of ethanol. To put this in perspective, all the existing corn fields in every state amount to about 800 million acres.
If we rely instead upon corn we must invest 2 units of energy for every 3 units of ethanol we produce. Consumption increases to a whopping 330 billion gallons requiring almost a billion acres or 1.5 million square miles of corn in addition to the current corn crop! Every square foot of land between Chicago and Denver from Canada to Mexico would have to grow corn. No cities, no parks, no homes or freeways, only corn fields.
Before deciding to push for huge increases in ethanol production, we may want to consider the consequences. As ethanol displaces gasoline, its price will increase, forcing the price of the corresponding crop to rise. Sugar, corn and other crops that can produce ethanol will rise along with the price of the fuel and the food they produce. Corn as food must compete with corn as fuel.
Where will ethanol crops grow? To the extent that existing farmland is converted to such production, the world's food supply will decrease. Clearly vast new areas will have to be cultivated. Will this accelerate the destruction of Brazilian rainforest?
What resources are required to harvest and process 300 million acres of sugar cane; 930 million acres of corn? Already the giant agribusinesses compete with oil companies for America's enmity. And what happens if a cane blight or corn weevils or tornadoes or floods wipes out much of the crop? And what about fertilizer? Good farmers know that you must rotate crops. If you plant the same crop year after year, the soil is depleted of the nutrients required by that crop. Will we devastate the land by growing corn or sugarcane, then have to apply ever greater volumes of fertilizer?
Ethanol from cellulose such as wheat straw and sawgrass have been discussed recently. These require enzymes to break down the cellulose into ethanol. Much work needs to be done to determine the rate and total yield of this breakdown.
It is clear that ethanol represents an extender to supplement existing petroleum stocks, and a temporary one at that. It cannot replace gasoline. Until we come up with a viable solution to future petroleum shortages and environmental degradation, we must depend primarily upon conservation. Whatever the fuel, the less we use of it the better. Devoting enormous new resources to ethanol production will undoubtedly produce unintended consequences detrimental to the environment. Like it or not, gasoline is the best worst choice for decades to come.


Comments: 11
I don't know about ethanol. I know that Amory Lovins at the Rocky Mountain Institute states: "The potential cost-effective windpower in the Dakotas could make as much hydrogen as the world now uses—enough, if used in efficient fuel-cell vehicles, to displace all oil now used by U.S. highway vehicles."
Additionally, if you include cellulosic ethanol from agricultural and forestry wastes, and methanol from animal waste, the picture changes quite a bit.
Lovins notes, though, that the best initial ways to reduce the price of gas is to dramatically reduce demand through "lightweighting" and plug-in hybrid technology.
http://www.rmi.org/images/PDFs/Transportation/T02-10_DsnManuAdvComp.pdf
The basic problem with all biofuels is that the material that's converted to fuel represents a "withdrawal" of something from the soil where it originates. Animal waste is largely returned to the soil as fertilizer. Most other forestry waste and even agricultural waste returns something to the soil...perhaps not in the place we want it to be returned. However, eventually that "withdrawal" will have to be replaced.
And besides, the potential fuel production from waste, even before the "withdrawal" is repaid is very limited compared to the enormous demand.
No, biofuels are on one of those dead end evolutionary branches on the energy tree.
That may be right to some extent, but much of it ends up as fuel for forest fires or methane from concentrated animal feeding operations (CAFOs). Most fertilizers are artificially produced, creating dead zones in the ocean off our coasts. Sam Carana wrote an excellent article showing how bio-waste can be used to make agrichar, producing hydrogen and natural soil stabilizer in the process.
Gary: "the potential fuel production from waste, even before the "withdrawal" is repaid is very limited compared to the enormous demand."
That may be true, but cellulosic ethanol could probably make a dent in that demand, creating jobs, stimulating local economies, and reducing the need for "resource wars": Making Cellulosic Ethanol A Reality.
All that said, I am not such a big fan of ethanol. Ultimately, I would much rather see us use hydrogen, produced from wind and solar. In the short run, efficiency, as I mentioned above, through "lightweighting" and plug-in hybrids" would cut our transportation fuel demand by 75%, at an expense that is much less than wars in the mideast.
I agree completely that "cellulosic ethanol could probably make a dent ". The dent would be a small one.
I also agree that plug-ins have a lot of potential, especially considering that we haven't even mentioned electricity production in the above discussion. A huge advantage is that we wouldn't need an exorbitant distribution system to replace the gasoline system as we would for most alternative auto fuels. We could use the same distribution system both for auto propulsion and household power...enormously more efficient.
http://www.gather.com/viewArticle.jsp?articleId=281474976852235
I agree - and that is no small consideration. Also, have you seen Sam Carana's article on the Tesla Roadster and Rebecca Novak's article on Hydrogen Fuel Cell Hybrids?